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Seattle Storm W Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Dallas Wings W
78%
#Confidence
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Seattle Storm W vs Dallas Wings W closes out the WNBA regular season with the two clubs heading in very different directions. Dallas sits fourth in the Western Conference at 26-16, while Seattle occupies the conference basement at 8-34, making this a lopsided matchup on paper.
Both teams are well-rested heading into this one, with Seattle getting three days off and Dallas four, so fatigue is not a deciding factor here. Seattle has dropped nine of its last ten outings, including a 114-77 blowout loss to Las Vegas at home just days ago, while Dallas arrives having won its last two games, including a comfortable 97-77 win over the LA Sparks.
Seattle's injury report is concerning, with K. Samuelson ruled out and three more players listed as questionable, further thinning a rotation already struggling defensively (98.6 points allowed per game at home this season). Dallas, despite a few questionable tags of its own, has the deeper and more consistent roster, anchored by better offensive efficiency on the road (89.8 points per game away from home).
Given the class gap, home court is unlikely to be enough for Seattle to close the difference. Expect Dallas to control the pace and pull away in the second half, with the total trending toward the over given both teams' tendency to allow 85+ points a game. Dallas -6.5 and Over 172.5 stand out as the sharpest picks for this NBA picks matchup.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Dallas has dominated this head-to-head recently, winning the most recent meeting 92-70 in August 2026 and taking two of the...
Dallas has dominated this head-to-head recently, winning the most recent meeting 92-70 in August 2026 and taking two of the last three matchups overall. Seattle's lone win in that stretch was a 110-112 near-miss loss actually going to Dallas as well. Across the last two seasons, Dallas has won 6 of 10 meetings, with several results decided by 15+ points, reinforcing Dallas's edge in this rivalry heading into the finale.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
1.3/10
Seattle enters this game with an ugly recent stretch, losing nine of their last ten...
Seattle enters this game with an ugly recent stretch, losing nine of their last ten games and getting blown out 114-77 by Las Vegas in their last home outing. The Storm are 7-15 at home this season, allowing nearly 87 points per game on their own floor. With K. Samuelson out and three more players questionable, the rotation is stretched thin. Seattle has scored 90+ points just a few times in this span, and their defense has been consistently exploited by higher-quality Western Conference opponents. Three days of rest offers no real boost against a Dallas squad playing with far more momentum and depth.
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
5.3/10
Dallas arrives in strong form, winning back-to-back games including a 97-77 statement win over the...
Dallas arrives in strong form, winning back-to-back games including a 97-77 statement win over the Sparks, and sit fourth in the West at 26-16. The Wings have been especially potent on the road this season, averaging 89.8 points per game away from home, slightly better than their home output. Four days of rest with only two games in the next two weeks means Dallas is fresh and focused. Some rotation pieces carry questionable tags, but none appear central enough to derail their offensive rhythm. Their balanced scoring and superior overall record make them heavy favorites in this spread pick against a struggling Seattle side.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Seattle Storm W vs Dallas Wings W - Match Analysis
Yes, Dallas looks well-positioned to cover here. They're playing with confidence after back-to-back wins, have a healthier roster overall, and are facing a Seattle team that has lost nine of its last ten games while also missing key rotation pieces. The scoring and depth gap strongly favors Dallas covering comfortably in this spread pick.
The over looks like the better lean. Both teams have shown they can be scored on consistently this season, with Seattle allowing nearly 88 points per game and Dallas averaging almost 90 points on the road. Neither team plays a particularly slow, defensive-oriented style, supporting an over under prediction favoring the over.
It's unlikely. While Seattle does have home court advantage and is well-rested, their 8-34 record, nine losses in the last ten games, and multiple injury concerns make an upset a tough ask against a Dallas team riding momentum with a much stronger overall body of work this season.
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