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New York Knicks Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
New York Knicks
62%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | New York Knicks | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
1xBetBest Odds | ||
Pinnacle | ||
Marathon Bet | ||
| Best Odds | 1.80 | 2.14 |
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The New York Knicks hold a commanding 2-0 series lead heading into Game 3 of the NBA Finals against the San Antonio Spurs at Madison Square Garden. With momentum firmly on their side after consecutive victories including a crucial comeback win, the Knicks are positioned to take a stranglehold on the championship series.
Historical data strongly favors New York's position, as teams leading 2-0 in NBA Finals have won the series 94% of the time. The psychological advantage of playing at home with a two-game cushion cannot be overstated, while San Antonio faces the mounting pressure of potential elimination. The Spurs must now win four straight games to capture the title, a daunting task against a confident Knicks squad.
Key matchups will center around Karl-Anthony Towns' interior presence against Victor Wembanyama, while Jalen Brunson's playoff experience could prove decisive in clutch moments. The Knicks have already demonstrated their ability to execute under pressure against this Spurs team, suggesting they possess the tactical adjustments needed for continued success.
From a betting perspective, the 62% probability for a Knicks victory reflects both the series context and home court advantage. San Antonio's 38% chance acknowledges their talent level with players like Wembanyama and Devin Vassell, but the elimination pressure and road environment create significant obstacles for the young Spurs roster.
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2025/2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
New York has dominated their recent playoff meetings, sweeping both games in San Antonio with identical 105-point performances. The June...
New York has dominated their recent playoff meetings, sweeping both games in San Antonio with identical 105-point performances. The June 4th blowout (105-95) showcased the Knicks' defensive intensity, while the June 6th thriller (105-104) demonstrated their clutch gene. Historically, these teams split their regular season meetings, with the home team typically prevailing. The Knicks' 3-2 advantage in recent years includes strong performances at Madison Square Garden, where they've averaged 120+ points against San Antonio. The playoff environment has clearly elevated New York's execution.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA matches highlighted
15 of 15 in NBA
Form Rating
8.7/10
The Knicks enter riding tremendous playoff momentum with victories in their last 13 postseason games....
The Knicks enter riding tremendous playoff momentum with victories in their last 13 postseason games. Their recent wins over San Antonio (105-95, 105-104) highlight their ability to execute in hostile environments. The team has been remarkably consistent offensively, averaging 117 points per game at home during the regular season. Josh Hart and Mikal Bridges have provided crucial two-way impact, while Jalen Brunson's playoff leadership has been exceptional. Several players carry questionable tags, but none appear to be rotation-altering injuries. The 2-day rest period allows them to return home refreshed and ready to capitalize on their road success. Their 39-12 home record during the regular season reflects the significant advantage Madison Square Garden provides.
15 of 15 in NBA
Form Rating
5.3/10
San Antonio's playoff run has been impressive overall, but they're reeling from consecutive home losses...
San Antonio's playoff run has been impressive overall, but they're reeling from consecutive home losses to New York. The Spurs averaged 99.5 points in those defeats - well below their season average of 118.8 PPG. Victor Wembanyama remains their cornerstone, but the supporting cast has struggled with consistency. Five players listed as out creates rotation challenges, particularly in the frontcourt depth behind Wembanyama. Their 36-15 road record during the regular season demonstrates capability away from home, but the recent offensive struggles are concerning. The team's 73.1% win rate reflects their quality, yet they've managed just 2 wins in their last 4 playoff games. The 2-day rest helps, but overcoming both momentum deficit and venue change presents a significant challenge.
Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Track how betting lines shift across bookmakers
New York Knicks
1.75
San Antonio Spurs
2.10
Odds have remained relatively stable.
Bookmakers
11
Last Quote
1.75
Initial Odds
1.74
Highest Odds
2.11
Confidence
62%
New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs - Match Analysis
Yes, the Knicks offer solid value at -2.5. They've proven they can beat San Antonio on the road twice, making them formidable with home court advantage. The spread seems conservative given their recent dominance and the venue shift to Madison Square Garden. San Antonio's injury concerns and momentum deficit make this number attractive for New York backers.
Take the Under 209.5. Both recent playoff meetings between these teams produced totals of 200 and 209 points, well below this number. Playoff basketball features increased defensive intensity and slower pace. The Knicks have successfully limited San Antonio's explosive offense (118.8 PPG average) to under 105 points in both encounters, suggesting continued defensive focus.
Home court is crucial for New York after proving they can win in San Antonio. Madison Square Garden's playoff atmosphere should amplify their confidence from recent road victories. The Knicks went 39-12 at home during the regular season and have historically performed well against San Antonio at MSG. The venue change eliminates San Antonio's crowd support that couldn't prevent their recent losses.
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