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Minnesota Lynx W Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Minnesota Lynx W
65%
#Confidence
No odds data available for this match.
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Minnesota Lynx W host Dallas Wings W in a Western Conference showdown between the top two teams in the standings. The Lynx enter as league leaders with an impressive 11-2 record and 84.6% win rate, while Dallas sits second at 9-3 with a 75% win rate. Both teams enjoy equal rest with 3+ days since their last games, eliminating any schedule advantage.
Minnesota's home dominance has been evident, averaging 87.6 points while allowing just 78.3 at home this season. Their recent form shows 6 wins in their last 7 games, including a convincing 20-point victory over Seattle. Dallas counters with strong road performance (5-1 away record) and has won 4 of their last 5 games, including a recent 104-96 road victory over Los Angeles.
The head-to-head history slightly favors the home team in recent meetings, with Minnesota winning their last encounter 90-86 in Dallas just weeks ago. Both teams average high-scoring affairs, combining for over 14 points per game this season.
With Minnesota's superior home record, league-leading position, and recent head-to-head advantage, they should cover a modest spread. The high-powered offenses and fast pace suggest the total will eclipse expectations in this elite Western Conference battle.
Moderate
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
Recent head-to-head meetings show a competitive rivalry with Minnesota holding a slight edge. The Lynx won their most recent encounter...
Recent head-to-head meetings show a competitive rivalry with Minnesota holding a slight edge. The Lynx won their most recent encounter 90-86 in Dallas on May 15th, demonstrating their ability to win on the road against this opponent. Looking at the last two seasons, home court has generally been decisive in this matchup, with the host winning most meetings. Both teams have shown they can score against each other, with recent games featuring totals in the 170-180 range, suggesting an up-tempo style when these Western Conference powers clash.
Last 14 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted
13 of 14 in NBA W
Form Rating
8.6/10
Minnesota Lynx W enter this matchup in exceptional form, riding a 6-game winning streak that...
Minnesota Lynx W enter this matchup in exceptional form, riding a 6-game winning streak that includes dominant victories over quality opponents. Their 84.6% win rate leads the league, built on balanced scoring (87.9 PPG) and solid defense (76.5 PPG allowed). The Lynx have been particularly impressive at home, posting a 5-2 record while averaging 87.6 points and allowing just 78.3. Key players like Howard Natasha and McBride Kayla Renae have been instrumental in their success. With 3 days of rest and low fatigue risk, Minnesota should be at full strength despite having four players currently listed as out on the injury report.
12 of 12 in NBA W
Form Rating
7.5/10
Dallas Wings W bring strong momentum into this road test, winning 4 of their last...
Dallas Wings W bring strong momentum into this road test, winning 4 of their last 5 games including an impressive 104-96 victory over Los Angeles in their most recent outing. Their 75% win rate ranks second in the Western Conference, powered by explosive offense (90.8 PPG) that actually performs better on the road (94.2 PPG away vs 87.5 at home). The Wings have been excellent away from home with a 5-1 road record this season. However, they face upcoming fixture congestion with back-to-back games following this contest. Two players are listed as questionable (Kuier Awak and Li Yueru), but both have minimal games missed recently.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Minnesota Lynx W vs Dallas Wings W - Match Analysis
Yes, Minnesota offers strong value covering the spread at home. Their league-leading 84.6% win rate and dominant home splits (87.6 PPG scored, 78.3 allowed) provide a solid foundation. The Lynx recently defeated Dallas 90-86 on the road, demonstrating their ability to handle this opponent. With equal rest for both teams and Minnesota's superior overall record, the home court advantage should be decisive in this Western Conference showdown.
The Over appears likely given both teams' offensive capabilities and pace of play. Minnesota averages 87.9 PPG while Dallas scores 90.8 PPG, combining for over 14 points per game this season. Dallas actually scores better on the road (94.2 PPG) while Minnesota's home offense averages 87.6 PPG. Recent head-to-head meetings have featured high-scoring affairs, and both teams play an up-tempo style that should push the total higher in this elite matchup.
Dallas faces a challenging schedule with back-to-back games following this contest, which could impact their approach and energy management. While they currently have 3 days of rest and low fatigue risk for this game, the coaching staff may be mindful of rotation management knowing they have another game immediately after. This upcoming congestion slightly favors Minnesota, who have a more favorable schedule ahead and can afford to play their key players heavy minutes without concern for immediate fixture demands.
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