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Los Angeles Sparks W
Los Angeles Sparks W6th in NBA W (7-8)
VS
New York Liberty W
New York Liberty W2nd in NBA W (11-5)

Los Angeles Sparks W vs New York Liberty W

Monday, Jun 22, 2026 · --:--

Los Angeles Sparks W Arena

Final
Los Angeles Sparks W
98–97
New York Liberty W

Los Angeles Sparks W won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The New York Liberty travel to face the Los Angeles Sparks in a WNBA matchup on June 22, with New York entering as clear favorites backed by a significant gap in form and overall standing. The Liberty hold an 11-5 record compared to the Sparks' 7-8, a difference that reflects consistent execution on both ends of the floor throughout the season.

New York's road form is arguably the most compelling factor in this contest. A 5-1 away record demonstrates the Liberty are not a team that fades outside their home environment, and that kind of road confidence is difficult to manufacture. Against a Sparks side that has managed just a 2-6 home record, the Liberty's travel resilience becomes an even sharper edge.

Los Angeles does show a marginal advantage in three-point production, with Kelly Plum and Nneka Ogwumike providing scoring threats that can shift momentum in any given quarter. However, New York's roster depth — anchored by Sabrina Ionescu and Breanna Stewart — gives the Liberty multiple ways to respond, and no confirmed injuries or lineup disruptions have emerged to change that calculus.

With no material roster news altering the outlook, the statistical case for New York remains intact. The Liberty's combination of superior record, proven road form, and a vulnerable Sparks home environment points firmly toward an away win. Bettors looking for a medium-confidence selection with clear underlying logic should find the Liberty a well-supported choice here.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Los Angeles Sparks W (2)New York Liberty W (8)
Aug 13, 25
(H)Los Angeles Sparks W97 - 105New York Liberty W(A)
A
Jul 26, 25
(H)New York Liberty W99 - 101Los Angeles Sparks W(A)
A
Jul 3, 25
(H)New York Liberty W89 - 79Los Angeles Sparks W(A)
H
Aug 29, 24
(H)Los Angeles Sparks W94 - 88New York Liberty W(A)
H
Aug 16, 24
(H)Los Angeles Sparks W68 - 103New York Liberty W(A)
A
Jun 22, 24
(H)New York Liberty W98 - 88Los Angeles Sparks W(A)
H
Jun 20, 24
(H)New York Liberty W93 - 80Los Angeles Sparks W(A)
H
Sep 7, 23
(H)New York Liberty W96 - 89Los Angeles Sparks W(A)
H
Aug 2, 23
(H)Los Angeles Sparks W69 - 76New York Liberty W(A)
A
Jul 30, 23
(H)Los Angeles Sparks W79 - 87New York Liberty W(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The head-to-head record from the last two seasons is limited, with only one meeting in the current 2026 season window...

The head-to-head record from the last two seasons is limited, with only one meeting in the current 2026 season window — a Liberty road win at Los Angeles in August 2025 (105-97). Extending back to 2024, the Sparks did win one home meeting (94-88 in August 2024), but the Liberty dominated the broader recent history, winning 8 of the last 10 encounters across all venues. Los Angeles has struggled to contain New York at home, conceding 103 and 105 in two of their last three home H2H matchups.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted

Los Angeles Sparks W

15 of 15 in NBA W

L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Los Angeles Sparks W Form Analysis

Trending

The Sparks sit at 7-8 in the Western Conference, sixth in their division, and have...

The Sparks sit at 7-8 in the Western Conference, sixth in their division, and have dropped 2 consecutive games heading into this contest. Their most recent outing was a 16-point home loss to Minnesota on June 18, preceded by a 20-point road loss at Golden State on June 16 — a concerning back-to-back stretch that exposed defensive vulnerabilities. Their home record is a troubling 2-6, averaging just 86 points scored against 93.4 conceded at their own arena. C. Brink and K. Plum are both listed as questionable, and any absences would further weaken an already inconsistent offensive unit.

New York Liberty W

15 of 15 in NBA W

W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

New York Liberty W Form Analysis

Analysis

The New York Liberty are the class of the WNBA this season, leading the Eastern...

The New York Liberty are the class of the WNBA this season, leading the Eastern Conference at 11-4 with a league-best +99 point differential. They have won 5 of their last 6 games, including a narrow road win at Chicago on June 18. Their road record of 6-1 is exceptional, averaging 94.6 points scored away from home — the highest road scoring average in the data. A. Maley remains out (8 games missed), while B. Laney and Fauthoux Marine are questionable, but the Liberty's depth has proven sufficient to absorb absences. S. Ionescu and B. Stewart anchor a roster built to win on the road.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
Los Angeles Sparks W8-850.0%
New York Liberty W12-570.6%
Avg Points Scored
Los Angeles Sparks W87.6
New York Liberty W88.5
Avg Points Allowed
Los Angeles Sparks W89.9
New York Liberty W83.0

shieldLos Angeles Sparks W2

  • K. Plum

    Questionable
  • C. Brink

    Questionable
K. Plum
C. Brink

shieldNew York Liberty W3

  • Fauthoux Marine

    Questionable
  • B. Laney

    Questionable
  • A. Maley

    Injured
Fauthoux Marine
B. Laney
A. Maley

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

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Toronto Tempo W vs Minnesota Lynx W

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AI: Chicago Sky W56%
High Value

Las Vegas Aces W vs New York Liberty W

Fri, Jul 31, 02:00 AM

AI: Las Vegas Aces W54%
Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Los Angeles Sparks W-2.3
New York Liberty W+5.5

Los Angeles Sparks W vs New York Liberty W - Match Analysis

Should I take the New York Liberty to cover the spread on the road?

Yes, the Liberty's road form makes them a compelling spread pick. New York is 6-1 away from home this season, averaging 94.6 points in road games while the Sparks are just 2-6 at home, conceding 93.4 per game. With K. Plum and C. Brink both questionable for Los Angeles, the Sparks' offensive ceiling is capped. The Liberty's defensive discipline and depth should be enough to win comfortably and cover a moderate spread.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

The lean is toward the Under. The Sparks average only 86 points at home, and the Liberty allow just 83 per game defensively — one of the better marks in the league. If K. Plum is unavailable for Los Angeles, their scoring drops further. New York also plays at a controlled pace rather than a run-and-gun style. A total in the 160-168 range is likely, making the Under the smarter play unless both teams' questionable players are confirmed active.

Can the Los Angeles Sparks pull off an upset at home?

It's possible but unlikely. The Sparks' home record of 2-6 is one of the worst in the league, and they've just lost back-to-back games by double digits. The Liberty have dominated this head-to-head historically, winning 8 of the last 10 meetings. For an upset to occur, Los Angeles would need K. Plum and C. Brink both active and performing well, combined with a rare off night from New York's road-tested core. The odds don't favor it.

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