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Las Vegas Aces W Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Las Vegas Aces W
78%
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Las Vegas Aces W vs Seattle Storm W prediction sees the third-place Aces hosting a struggling Storm side just three days after a blowout meeting between these two. Las Vegas dominated that September 18 clash 114-77, and the underlying numbers suggest a similar story is likely here.
The Aces sit at 28-15 with a .651 win rate and rank third in the Western Conference, while Seattle limps in at 9-34, last in the West with a -251 goal differential on the season. Las Vegas enjoys a normal two days of rest, while Seattle is on a back-to-back after their game the night before, adding fatigue to an already lopsided talent gap.
Las Vegas has won six of its last ten outings despite some inconsistency, including road losses to Atlanta, New York and Minnesota, but at home their scoring punch (89.7 PPG) has been reliable. Seattle has lost 8 of its last 10 and continues to struggle on the road, averaging just 80.4 points per game away from home with a 2-19 road record this season.
Given the position gap, rest advantage and recent head-to-head blowout, Las Vegas should control this game from the opening tip. Expect a comfortable double-digit spread cover with a total that could dip slightly given Seattle's back-to-back fatigue limiting offensive execution.
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2026 Season
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
These teams met just three days ago, with Las Vegas crushing Seattle 114-77. Across the last two seasons, Las Vegas...
These teams met just three days ago, with Las Vegas crushing Seattle 114-77. Across the last two seasons, Las Vegas has won 7 of the last 10 meetings, including four of the last five encounters. Seattle's only recent wins came in close, low-scoring affairs. With Las Vegas playing at home again and Seattle depleted by a back-to-back, history strongly favors another comfortable Aces victory in this rematch.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
6.7/10
Las Vegas enters at 28-15, sitting third in the Western Conference with a healthy .651...
Las Vegas enters at 28-15, sitting third in the Western Conference with a healthy .651 win rate. Their last outing was a dominant 114-77 blowout of this very Seattle team, showcasing their scoring depth. Over their last ten games they've gone 6-4, with losses coming against stronger playoff contenders like Atlanta, Minnesota and New York. At home this season they're 13-7, averaging 89.7 points per game. With two days of rest and no back-to-back scheduling concern, Las Vegas should be fresh and locked in against a clearly inferior opponent they just dismantled days earlier.
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
1.3/10
Seattle sits last in the Western Conference at 9-34, with a brutal -251 goal differential...
Seattle sits last in the Western Conference at 9-34, with a brutal -251 goal differential highlighting how one-sided their season has been. They've lost 8 of their last 10, including the recent 114-77 blowout to this same Aces squad. Their road form is particularly poor at 2-19, averaging just 80.4 points per game away from home. Compounding matters, Seattle is on a back-to-back after playing the previous night, adding fatigue to an already overmatched roster with multiple players listed as questionable heading into this rematch.
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Las Vegas Aces W vs Seattle Storm W - Match Analysis
Yes, Las Vegas looks like a strong spread pick here. They just beat Seattle by 37 points days ago, own a four-place position gap advantage, and enjoy full rest while Seattle plays on a back-to-back. Seattle's road record of 2-19 this season further supports backing the home favorite to cover comfortably.
Seattle played the night before this game, creating a significant fatigue disadvantage against a rested Las Vegas side. Back-to-back games typically reduce shooting efficiency and energy levels, which is especially costly against a team that just dominated them by 37 points. Multiple Seattle players are also listed as questionable, compounding their disadvantage.
With a combined 4.03 points per game across both teams' scoring averages, the total sits in a moderate range. However, Seattle's back-to-back fatigue and poor road scoring (80.4 PPG away) could suppress the total, making Under the more likely outcome unless Las Vegas runs up the score in a potential blowout.
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