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Indiana Fever W Arena
Indiana Fever W won
Indiana Fever W vs New York Liberty W prediction: this WNBA clash pits a Fever team riding solid recent form against a Liberty side that has cooled off considerably over its last several outings.
Indiana enters having won 4 of its last 6, including a blowout 109-75 win over Las Vegas, though a rough loss to Phoenix and a lopsided defeat to Atlanta show some inconsistency. New York, meanwhile, has dropped 4 of its last 5, struggling with injuries to Fiebich Leonie and S. Sabally, both ruled out, with R. Allen questionable. That absence of frontcourt depth has clearly hurt Liberty's offensive rhythm.
Both teams are well rested, with Indiana at 5 days off and New York at 6, so fatigue isn't a major swing factor here despite both facing congested schedules with back-to-backs looming later this week. The head-to-head series has been tightly contested over the past two seasons, but Indiana's superior recent form and home scoring average (97.8 points per game at home) give them the edge.
With a combined goals per game figure of 7.01 and both teams playing an up-tempo style, this projects as a high-scoring affair. Expect Indiana to lean on its home-court boost and Liberty's shorthanded roster to push spread value toward the Fever, while the total should trend firmly to the over given both offenses' recent scoring outputs.
Last 10 head-to-head matchups
The two teams have split recent meetings, with Indiana winning the most recent encounter on 2026-06-07 despite trailing 75-83 as...
The two teams have split recent meetings, with Indiana winning the most recent encounter on 2026-06-07 despite trailing 75-83 as the home team, actually a Liberty win on the road, and Indiana taking the April 25 meeting 109-91 at home. Going back to 2025, Liberty won both meetings in New York while Indiana claimed a home win in June. Overall, the head-to-head has favored the home team in this fixture, giving Indiana a slight psychological edge for this contest.
Last 15 matches across all competitionsNBA W matches highlighted
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
6.7/10
Indiana enters this matchup with 15 wins in 25 games and a hot recent stretch,...
Indiana enters this matchup with 15 wins in 25 games and a hot recent stretch, winning 4 of their last 6 including an emphatic 109-75 road win over Las Vegas. The Fever's home record stands at 8-5 with an average of 97.8 points scored, well above their season average, indicating a strong home offensive identity. They're fully rested with 5 days off, no back-to-back concerns tonight, though a congested schedule looms with games on July 17, 19, and 23. Their offense has been explosive but occasionally leaky on defense, conceding over 90 points at home per game, suggesting fast-paced, high-scoring output is likely again here.
15 of 15 in NBA W
Form Rating
5.3/10
New York Liberty come in on a rough patch, dropping 4 of their last 5...
New York Liberty come in on a rough patch, dropping 4 of their last 5 games including losses to Toronto, Minnesota, and Dallas. Injuries have compounded the issue, with Fiebich Leonie and S. Sabally both out and R. Allen questionable, thinning an already stretched roster. Liberty's away form sits at 7-6 with a solid 90.5 points scored per game on the road, but their defense has been shaky, allowing 87.5 points per game away from home. With 6 days rest, fatigue isn't the issue — it's roster depth and recent inconsistency that make this a tougher spot for the Liberty heading into Indiana.
2026 Season
No reported injuries
Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.
Moderate
Strong
Unfavorable
Moderate
Indiana Fever W vs New York Liberty W - Match Analysis
Yes, Indiana looks like the smarter spread pick here. Their home scoring average of 97.8 points per game combined with New York's absence of Fiebich Leonie and S. Sabally creates a clear talent and depth gap. Liberty have also lost 4 of their last 5 games, while Indiana has won 4 of 6, making the Fever a strong side to back against the spread in this spot.
The over looks appealing based on a combined goals per game figure of 7.01 and both teams' tendencies toward fast-paced, high-scoring basketball. Indiana averages nearly 98 points at home, while Liberty put up 90.5 points per game on the road. Even with Liberty missing key rotation pieces, their remaining players tend to play up-tempo, supporting an over-the-total prediction.
New York enters without Fiebich Leonie and S. Sabally, both ruled out, while R. Allen is questionable. This significantly weakens Liberty's frontcourt depth and rotation flexibility against a rested, in-form Indiana squad. Given Liberty has already lost 4 of its last 5 games, these absences make it harder for them to keep pace with Indiana's home offense, tilting the matchup toward the Fever.
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