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Saint Quentin Arena
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AI Predicted Winner
Cholet
56%
#Confidence
| Sportsbook | Saint Quentin | Cholet✦ AI Pick |
|---|---|---|
Betfair | ||
BetanoBest Odds | ||
1xBet | ||
| Best Odds |
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Saint Quentin vs Cholet prediction: this LNB meeting at Saint Quentin Arena pits the 14th-placed hosts against a 10th-placed Cholet side that sits in the play-in zone. Saint Quentin have won only 2 of 7 league games and have allowed 90+ points in most of their recent defeats, though they have been much stronger at home than away. Cholet are 3-4 overall, have lost 4 of their last 5 league matches, and have also been juggling Champions League commitments.
Schedule is a modest factor. Saint Quentin have had 13 days since their last game and Cholet 10, so neither team is exposed to back-to-back fatigue. The rest edge is marginal, and the real separation comes from form and defensive solidity. Cholet concede fewer points per game and carry a better overall record, while Saint Quentin's home split of 2-3 and 93.4 points scored shows an offense that can compete.
Head-to-head leans toward Cholet: within the last two years they won 3 of 4 meetings (the one loss was a 77-68 defeat in Saint Quentin in November 2025). Home court is worth roughly 2-3 points in the NBA-style model, which narrows an otherwise Cholet-leaning matchup. The pick is a tight game with Cholet slightly favored on the moneyline, while Saint Quentin +3.5 on the spread offers value for NBA picks seekers who like the home underdog. Expect a combined total near 180.
Moderate
Weak
Favorable
Low
2026/2027 Season
No reported injuries or suspensions for either team
Last 6 head-to-head matchups
Cholet hold the recent edge, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings since late 2024. They won 93-80 at home...
Cholet hold the recent edge, winning 3 of the last 4 meetings since late 2024. They won 93-80 at home in January 2026 and took a 77-71 road win in Saint Quentin in April 2025. Saint Quentin's lone win in that window came 77-68 at home in November 2025, which shows the hosts can beat Cholet in this building. Margins have been mixed, so the series is competitive despite Cholet's record.
Last 12 matches across all competitionsLNB matches highlighted
7 of 8 in LNB
Form Rating
2.5/10
Saint Quentin are 2-5 on the season and have lost 5 of their last 6...
Saint Quentin are 2-5 on the season and have lost 5 of their last 6 league games, with just 1 win in the last 3. The offense has held up, scoring 99 against Lyon-Villeurbanne and 94 against Strasbourg, but the defense has allowed 91, 98 and 102 in recent losses. At home they are 2-3 and average 93.4 points, a far better profile than their 0-2 road record. They arrive with 13 days of rest and low fatigue risk, which should help rotation freshness and shot quality.
7 of 12 in LNB
Form Rating
5/10
Cholet are 3-4 overall and 1-2 on the road, scoring 78.7 and conceding 83.3 away...
Cholet are 3-4 overall and 1-2 on the road, scoring 78.7 and conceding 83.3 away from home. Their recent run is poor, with 1 win in the last 5 league games, including defeats at Strasbourg and Nanterre. A 94-90 home win over Paris on November 3 was a positive result. Their Champions League schedule adds load, but they have had 10 days of rest and are not on a back-to-back. Their defensive numbers are steadier than Saint Quentin's.
Saint Quentin vs Cholet - Match Analysis
Saint Quentin +3.5 offers solid value. The hosts average 93.4 points at home, have beaten Cholet in this building before, and receive a standard home-court boost of around 2-3 points. Cholet have only 1 win in their last 5 league games and score under 80 points on average away from home. A narrow Cholet win is the most likely outcome, which keeps the home underdog live against the spread.
A total near 180 looks fair. Saint Quentin allow 96.8 points at home and score 93.4, while Cholet score 78.7 and concede 83.3 on the road. The home side's high-scoring games push toward the over, but Cholet's slower road profile pulls the total down. Neither side has fatigue concerns, so scoring should be steady and lean toward the middle of the range.
Yes, an upset is realistic. Saint Quentin beat Cholet 77-68 at home in November 2025 and are far stronger in their own arena than on the road. Cholet are 4 places higher but have lost 4 of their last 5 league games. The hosts' defense is the main concern, since they have conceded 90+ points repeatedly, so they need to tighten up to turn a close game into a win.
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