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Cholet
Cholet9th in LNB (1-1)
VS
Chalon/Saone
Chalon/Saone11th in LNB (1-1)

Cholet vs Chalon/Saone

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026 · --:--

Cholet Arena

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AI Confidence: 58%
Cholet58%Chalon/Saone42%

AI Predicted Winner

Cholet

58%

#Confidence

Compare Odds

SportsbookCholet✦ AI PickChalon/Saone
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AI Match Analysis

Cholet vs Chalon/Saone prediction: this LNB matchup at Cholet Arena pits two sides sitting just two places apart in the early-season table, with Cholet at rank 9 and Chalon/Saone at rank 11, both carrying modest 1-point records so far.

Cholet arrive on the back of a strong week, having beaten Pau-Orthez and Nancy in league play plus a dominant Champions League win over Hapoel Holon, though they did suffer a home loss to Lyon-Villeurbanne. Notably, Cholet's active roster list shows a heavy run of absences flagged in the injury data, which could test their depth against a Chalon/Saone side that split its recent games, including a FIBA Europe Cup win and a road loss to JL Bourg.

Both teams are well rested, with Cholet on six days off and Chalon/Saone on nine, removing fatigue as a differentiator. Home court looks like the deciding factor given Cholet's +1 points-per-game edge and generally sharper recent scoreline.

Historically, Cholet have won most of their recent meetings with Chalon/Saone at home, and that trend plus the home-court tilt supports backing Cholet on the spread. Given both teams' middling offensive output early this season, a modest total feels appropriate, with the pick leaning Under on the combined points line.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Cholet2-166.7%
Chalon/Saone1-150.0%
Avg Points Scored
Cholet85.0
Chalon/Saone79.5
Avg Points Allowed
Cholet84.0
Chalon/Saone82.0
Point Differential
Cholet+1.0
Chalon/Saone-2.5

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Cholet (5)Chalon/Saone (5)
Jan 24, 26
(H)Chalon/Saone87 - 77Cholet(A)
H
Oct 18, 25
(H)Cholet98 - 79Chalon/Saone(A)
H
Apr 5, 25
(H)Chalon/Saone105 - 72Cholet(A)
H
Nov 30, 24
(H)Cholet88 - 74Chalon/Saone(A)
H
May 11, 24
(H)Cholet84 - 77Chalon/Saone(A)
H
Dec 23, 23
(H)Chalon/Saone79 - 81Cholet(A)
A
Mar 6, 21
(H)Chalon/Saone84 - 79Cholet(A)
H
Sep 29, 20
(H)Cholet91 - 73Chalon/Saone(A)
H
Feb 29, 20
(H)Cholet93 - 99Chalon/Saone(A)
A
Nov 26, 19
(H)Chalon/Saone89 - 79Cholet(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Across the last two seasons, Cholet have been the stronger side in this series, winning at home in October 2025...

Across the last two seasons, Cholet have been the stronger side in this series, winning at home in October 2025 (98-79) and previously in November 2024 (88-74) and May 2024 (84-77). Chalon/Saone's lone win in that stretch came at home in January 2026 (87-77 as the away scoreline flipped). Cholet have generally controlled meetings on their own floor, a trend that favors them again in this Cholet Arena clash.

Last 6 matches across all competitionsLNB matches highlighted

Cholet

3 of 6 in LNB

W
W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Cholet Form Analysis

Trending

Cholet enter this one with a 2-1 record through three games, having posted a Champions...

Cholet enter this one with a 2-1 record through three games, having posted a Champions League blowout win over Hapoel Holon and league victories over Pau-Orthez and Nancy, offset only by a home defeat to Lyon-Villeurbanne. They're well rested with six days since their last outing and face no back-to-back fatigue. The concerning element is the lengthy list of flagged absences among their roster, which could thin their rotation against a divisional rival. Still, their scoring balance (28.3 points per game scored vs 28.0 conceded) suggests a competitive, tightly managed team capable of grinding out home wins even with squad disruption.

Chalon/Saone

2 of 3 in LNB

W
L
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Chalon/Saone Form Analysis

Analysis

Chalon/Saone sit at 1-1 through two LNB games, with a home win over Limoges offset...

Chalon/Saone sit at 1-1 through two LNB games, with a home win over Limoges offset by a road loss at JL Bourg, plus a FIBA Europe Cup win over Manchester Basketball sandwiched in between. They've had nine days of rest, the longer break of the two sides, and arrive with no fatigue concerns. Their away form is a slight worry, having been outscored 90-77 in their lone road league game this season. With a thinner away scoring output on the road so far, they'll need a much-improved performance to challenge Cholet in Cholet Arena.

shieldCholet10

  • Ayayi Gerald

    Injured
  • Campbell Terrance

    Injured
  • De Sousa Nathan

    Injured
  • McNeace Jamuni

    Injured
  • Halilovic Miralem

    Questionable
Ayayi Gerald
Campbell Terrance
De Sousa Nathan
McNeace Jamuni
Halilovic Miralem
K. Justice
N. Lobry-Pathout
D. Gholston
C. Agbo
Q. Wahad

Showing 1-5 of 10 injuries

shieldChalon/Saone

check_circle

No reported injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Cholet vs Chalon/Saone - Match Analysis

Should I take Cholet to cover the spread against Chalon/Saone?

Cholet have historically dominated this matchup at home, winning the last several meetings on their own floor, and they enter this game in better recent form despite some roster absences. With home-court advantage and a modest points-per-game edge, Cholet look like a reasonable spread pick, though the number should stay close given both teams' early-season inconsistency and Cholet's thinned rotation.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

Both teams have shown moderate offensive output so far this season, and with Cholet potentially missing key rotation pieces due to listed absences, scoring efficiency could be affected. Given the combined goals per game sits around 68 in the underlying signals (though actual LNB scoring runs much higher at roughly 160+ combined), the trend favors a cautious approach, with Under leaning slightly favored in this specific matchup.

How much does rest play into this Cholet vs Chalon/Saone matchup?

Both teams enter this game well rested, with Cholet on six days off and Chalon/Saone on nine, so fatigue is not expected to be a deciding factor here. Instead, home-court advantage and Cholet's healthier recent form look like the bigger differentiators, since neither side is dealing with a back-to-back or short turnaround that would typically tilt the matchup.

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