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Virtus Bologna
Virtus Bologna12th in Euroleague (11-13)
VS
Lyon-Villeurbanne
Lyon-Villeurbanne20th in Euroleague (6-18)

Virtus Bologna vs Lyon-Villeurbanne

Wednesday, Feb 4, 2026 · --:--

Virtus Bologna Arena

Final
Virtus Bologna
70–80
Lyon-Villeurbanne

Lyon-Villeurbanne won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Virtus Bologna vs Lyon-Villeurbanne prediction centers on a crucial Euroleague clash between two struggling sides desperate for points. Bologna sits 12th with an 11-13 record, while Lyon-Villeurbanne languishes at the bottom with just 6 wins from 24 games. Both teams enter with excellent rest having played 9-10 days ago, eliminating fatigue concerns. Bologna has shown improved form recently, winning 3 of their last 5 games including victories over Zalgiris and Milano at home. Lyon's recent form is mixed but they've competed well, taking Barcelona to 98-91 and beating Le Mans 91-88 on the road. The home court advantage at Virtus Bologna Arena could prove decisive in this NBA picks scenario. Bologna's superior league position and home form make them favorites, though Lyon's desperation for points creates upset potential. Expert picks favor Bologna to cover a modest spread while the total should stay under given both teams' defensive capabilities in recent Euroleague matches.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Virtus Bologna (5)Lyon-Villeurbanne (2)
Oct 17, 25
(H)Lyon-Villeurbanne83 - 90Virtus Bologna(A)
A
Dec 27, 24
(H)Virtus Bologna83 - 69Lyon-Villeurbanne(A)
H
Oct 10, 24
(H)Lyon-Villeurbanne87 - 85Virtus Bologna(A)
H
Jan 18, 24
(H)Virtus Bologna73 - 63Lyon-Villeurbanne(A)
H
Oct 27, 23
(H)Lyon-Villeurbanne84 - 87Virtus Bologna(A)
A
Feb 3, 23
(H)Lyon-Villeurbanne64 - 77Virtus Bologna(A)
A
Nov 4, 22
(H)Virtus Bologna79 - 84Lyon-Villeurbanne(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Virtus Bologna dominates this head-to-head matchup with a 5-2 record in their last seven meetings since 2022. Most significantly, Bologna...

Virtus Bologna dominates this head-to-head matchup with a 5-2 record in their last seven meetings since 2022. Most significantly, Bologna swept both encounters this season, winning 90-83 away in October and 83-69 at home last December. Bologna has won four of the last five meetings at home, typically controlling games through superior execution. The recent meetings have been relatively low-scoring affairs, with five of the last seven totaling under 170 points. Lyon's lone recent success came in a 87-84 thriller away in October 2024, showing they can compete when everything clicks.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Virtus Bologna

9 of 15 in Euroleague

W
L
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W
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W
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L
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Virtus Bologna Form Analysis

Trending

Virtus Bologna enters with solid momentum despite their mid-table position. They've won 3 of their...

Virtus Bologna enters with solid momentum despite their mid-table position. They've won 3 of their last 5 games, including impressive home victories over Zalgiris (83-79) and Milano (97-85). Their recent road win at Dubai (80-72) demonstrates improved away form. Bologna has been competitive in most games, losing narrowly to quality opponents like Fenerbahce (85-80) and Crvena zvezda (102-93). The injury list is concerning with several key players out, including Taylor Brandon and Smailagic Alen, but Edwards and Jallow are questionable rather than definitively out. Home court has been kind to Bologna this season, where they've shown better defensive intensity and crowd support provides extra energy.

Lyon-Villeurbanne

9 of 15 in Euroleague

W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
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L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Lyon-Villeurbanne Form Analysis

Analysis

Lyon-Villeurbanne's season has been disappointing but recent performances show fight. They've alternated wins and losses...

Lyon-Villeurbanne's season has been disappointing but recent performances show fight. They've alternated wins and losses recently, beating Le Mans 91-88 away and dominating Le Portel 104-58 at home. However, losses to Barcelona (98-91) and Zalgiris (96-77) highlight their struggles against quality opposition. Their overtime thriller against Anadolu Efes (103-99 win) and competitive showing against Paris demonstrate they can score when needed. The French side has averaged over 85 points in recent games, showing offensive improvement. Road form remains problematic though, with just 6 wins all season. Their desperation for points could lead to either inspired play or pressure-induced mistakes.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Virtus Bologna11-1345.8%
Lyon-Villeurbanne6-1825.0%
Avg Points Scored
Virtus Bologna82.8
Lyon-Villeurbanne78.7
Avg Points Allowed
Virtus Bologna83.4
Lyon-Villeurbanne87.3

shieldVirtus Bologna7

  • Edwards Carsen

    Questionable
  • Jallow Karim

    Questionable
  • Smailagic Alen

    Injured
  • Taylor Brandon

    Injured
  • A. Diarra

    Injured
Edwards Carsen
Jallow Karim
Smailagic Alen
Taylor Brandon
A. Diarra
A. Canka
M. Baiocchi

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

shieldLyon-Villeurbanne

check_circle

No reported injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Virtus Bologna-0.6
Lyon-Villeurbanne-8.6

Virtus Bologna vs Lyon-Villeurbanne - Match Analysis

Should I take Virtus Bologna to cover the -4.5 spread?

Yes, Bologna's home court advantage and 5-2 head-to-head dominance support covering the spread. They've swept Lyon this season and typically control games at home. With both teams well-rested, Bologna's superior talent and tactical execution should prevail by more than 4.5 points against the league's bottom team.

Will this game go over or under 165.5 points?

Take the under 165.5 points. Recent H2H meetings have been lower-scoring, with five of seven totaling under 170. Bologna's improved home defense and Lyon's inconsistent road offense suggest a grind-it-out affair. Both teams prefer slower-paced games in crucial Euroleague matches, favoring defensive execution over high-scoring affairs.

Can Lyon-Villeurbanne pull off the upset as heavy underdogs?

While Lyon's desperation creates upset potential, their 6-18 record and road struggles make an upset unlikely. They've shown fight recently but Bologna's home dominance and season sweep suggest tactical superiority. Lyon would need exceptional three-point shooting and Bologna's injury concerns to worsen significantly for a realistic upset chance.

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