Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Virtus Bologna68%
- Lyon-Villeurbanne32%
Analysis
The rest advantage favors neither team with both having 9-10 days off, eliminating fatigue factors. Point spread analysis suggests Bologna's home court advantage and superior league position justify favoritism. Bologna's 5-2 head-to-head dominance, including this season's sweep, indicates tactical superiority. Lyon's bottom-table position creates desperation that could inspire upset potential, but their road struggles (6-18 overall record) suggest limited away capability. Bologna's recent home wins over quality opponents like Zalgiris and Milano demonstrate their ability to perform when needed. The injury concerns for Bologna are offset by Lyon's season-long consistency issues.














