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Olympiacos
Olympiacos1st in Euroleague (26-12)
VS
Monaco
Monaco7th in Euroleague (22-16)

Olympiacos vs Monaco

Tuesday, Apr 28, 2026 · --:--

Olympiacos Arena

Final
Olympiacos
91–70
Monaco

Olympiacos won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Olympiacos hosts Monaco at Olympiacos Arena in a crucial Euroleague clash between the league leaders and a play-in contender. The Greek giants sit atop the table with 26 wins from 38 games, while Monaco occupies 7th place with 22 victories, fighting to secure their playoff position.

Olympiacos enters with excellent rest advantage, having nine days off since their last domestic league victory over Aris. This extended break should benefit a team that has been in outstanding form at home, winning 16 of 19 games while averaging over 91 points per contest. Their recent Euroleague performances include impressive victories over Real Madrid (102-88) and Fenerbahce (104-87) at home.

Monaco faces a challenging schedule situation with medium fixture congestion, having played just four days ago and facing three games in the next week. The French side has struggled on the road this season, managing only 8 wins in 20 away games while conceding nearly 88 points per contest. Key injuries to Nikola Mirotic and Nemanja Nedovic further weaken their rotation depth.

The head-to-head record slightly favors Monaco with recent narrow victories, but Olympiacos' home court advantage and superior rest situation should prove decisive. Expect a competitive but controlled performance from the league leaders.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Olympiacos (3)Monaco (7)
Mar 12, 26
(H)Monaco81 - 80Olympiacos(A)
H
Oct 29, 25
(H)Olympiacos87 - 92Monaco(A)
A
May 23, 25
(H)Olympiacos68 - 78Monaco(A)
A
Mar 27, 25
(H)Olympiacos77 - 80Monaco(A)
A
Dec 4, 24
(H)Monaco80 - 89Olympiacos(A)
A
Jan 4, 24
(H)Olympiacos75 - 73Monaco(A)
H
Nov 30, 23
(H)Monaco85 - 77Olympiacos(A)
H
May 19, 23
(H)Olympiacos76 - 62Monaco(A)
H
Jan 10, 23
(H)Monaco64 - 60Olympiacos(A)
H
Oct 27, 22
(H)Olympiacos76 - 81Monaco(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Monaco holds a slight edge in recent meetings, winning the last encounter 81-80 at home in March 2026. The season...

Monaco holds a slight edge in recent meetings, winning the last encounter 81-80 at home in March 2026. The season series is split 1-1, with Monaco also taking the earlier meeting 92-87 at Olympiacos Arena in October. However, these have been consistently close contests with an average margin of just 4.5 points across their last four meetings. Both teams have shown they can win on each other's home courts, but the games typically feature tight defensive battles with totals rarely exceeding 170 points.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Olympiacos

10 of 15 in Euroleague

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L
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Form Rating

8.7/10

Olympiacos Form Analysis

Trending

Olympiacos has been dominant throughout the season, leading the Euroleague with 26 wins and a...

Olympiacos has been dominant throughout the season, leading the Euroleague with 26 wins and a +262 goal difference. Their home form is particularly impressive at 16-3, averaging 91.3 points while allowing just 81.0. The extended nine-day rest period should have them fresh and well-prepared. Recent performances show their quality, defeating elite teams like Real Madrid by 14 points and Fenerbahce by 17 at home. They've won 4 of their last 5 games overall, with their only recent loss coming in a tight road game at Valencia. The team appears to be peaking at the right time for the playoff push.

Monaco

9 of 15 in Euroleague

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L
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L

Form Rating

6/10

Monaco Form Analysis

Analysis

Monaco's away form has been their Achilles heel this season, managing just 8 wins in...

Monaco's away form has been their Achilles heel this season, managing just 8 wins in 20 road games while averaging only 85.8 points and conceding 87.8. Their recent schedule has been demanding, and the injury list is concerning with key players Mirotic and Nedovic sidelined. They've shown resilience with some quality wins, including victories over Barcelona and Anadolu Efes, but consistency has been lacking. The team sits in 7th place, firmly in play-in territory but needing strong performances to secure their playoff position. Their medium fixture congestion adds another layer of difficulty for this crucial away fixture.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Olympiacos26-1268.4%
Monaco23-1757.5%
Avg Points Scored
Olympiacos90.3
Monaco89.9
Avg Points Allowed
Olympiacos83.8
Monaco86.5

shieldOlympiacos4

  • Ward Tyson

    Questionable
  • Joseph Cory

    Questionable
  • Jones Tyrique

    Injured
  • Larentzakis Giannoulis

    Injured
Ward Tyson
Joseph Cory
Jones Tyrique
Larentzakis Giannoulis

shieldMonaco7

  • Mirotic Nikola

    Injured
  • Laurencikas Mantas

    Questionable
  • Nedovic Nemanja

    Injured
  • Y. Moungalla

    Questionable
  • M. Klitschko

    Questionable
Mirotic Nikola
Laurencikas Mantas
Nedovic Nemanja
Y. Moungalla
M. Klitschko
K. Michee
D. Paindepice

Showing 1-5 of 7 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Olympiacos+6.5
Monaco+3.4

Olympiacos vs Monaco - Match Analysis

Should I take Olympiacos to cover the -4.5 spread?

Yes, Olympiacos -4.5 offers excellent value. The league leaders are 16-3 at home this season with dominant performances against elite teams. Their nine-day rest advantage over Monaco's four-day turnaround is significant in European basketball. Monaco's poor 8-12 away record and key injuries to Mirotic and Nedovic further support backing the hosts to win comfortably at home.

Will this game go over or under 165.5 points?

The under 165.5 is the stronger play. Monaco averages just 85.8 points on the road while allowing 87.8, indicating lower-scoring away performances. Olympiacos can control tempo at home and may not need to push the pace against an injury-depleted Monaco side. Recent head-to-head meetings have been relatively low-scoring, and Monaco's fatigue from fixture congestion could limit offensive efficiency.

How does Olympiacos' rest advantage affect this matchup?

The nine-day rest differential is massive in European basketball. Olympiacos will be physically and mentally fresh while Monaco faces medium fixture congestion with three games in the next week. This advantage typically manifests in better shooting percentages, fewer turnovers, and sustained energy throughout the game. Combined with home court advantage, it creates a significant edge for the Greek champions.

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