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Olympiacos
Olympiacos4th in Euroleague (4-1)
VS
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce2nd in Euroleague (5-1)

Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce

Friday, Oct 23, 2026 · --:--

Olympiacos Arena

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AI Confidence: 54%
Olympiacos54%Fenerbahce46%

AI Predicted Winner

Olympiacos

54%

#Confidence

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AI Match Analysis

Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce prediction: this Euroleague clash pits two of the continent's top-four sides against each other, with both teams sitting on strong win rates early in the season. Olympiacos sit fourth with four wins in five games, while Fenerbahce are just above them in second, having won five of six.

Rest favors the hosts somewhat, with Olympiacos enjoying nine days off since their last outing compared to seven for Fenerbahce, though both teams arrive with low fatigue risk and no back-to-back concerns. Olympiacos do face a packed schedule ahead with two games in the next week, but that congestion sits beyond this specific matchup.

Form favors the Greek side, winners of four of their last five across competitions including a statement road win over Valencia. Fenerbahce have been similarly impressive, though their only loss this season came on the road against Panathinaikos, hinting at some vulnerability away from home where they've played just one Euroleague game all season.

With both squads dealing with multiple absences and questionable statuses, this looks tightly contested. Olympiacos' home strength and Fenerbahce's thin away sample give the hosts a slight edge. Expect a competitive, moderately high-scoring affair with Olympiacos narrowly favored to cover at home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2026/2027 Season

Record
Olympiacos4-180.0%
Fenerbahce5-183.3%
Avg Points Scored
Olympiacos96.8
Fenerbahce83.5
Avg Points Allowed
Olympiacos87.8
Fenerbahce74.5
Point Differential
Olympiacos+9.0
Fenerbahce+9.0

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Olympiacos (5)Fenerbahce (5)
May 22, 26
(H)Olympiacos79 - 61Fenerbahce(A)
H
Mar 17, 26
(H)Olympiacos104 - 87Fenerbahce(A)
H
Jan 6, 26
(H)Fenerbahce88 - 80Olympiacos(A)
H
Jan 24, 25
(H)Olympiacos77 - 87Fenerbahce(A)
A
Oct 4, 24
(H)Fenerbahce82 - 71Olympiacos(A)
H
May 26, 24
(H)Olympiacos87 - 84Fenerbahce(A)
H
Apr 12, 24
(H)Olympiacos84 - 81Fenerbahce(A)
H
Nov 2, 23
(H)Fenerbahce79 - 77Olympiacos(A)
H
May 9, 23
(H)Olympiacos84 - 72Fenerbahce(A)
H
May 5, 23
(H)Fenerbahce73 - 69Olympiacos(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

These two have split recent meetings evenly, with Olympiacos winning the last two encounters in March and May 2026, both...

These two have split recent meetings evenly, with Olympiacos winning the last two encounters in March and May 2026, both at home by comfortable margins. Fenerbahce's most recent win in this series came on their own floor in January 2026. Over the past two years, Olympiacos have generally been strong at Olympiacos Arena against Fenerbahce, while road results have favored whichever team was hosting, suggesting home court carries real weight in this rivalry.

Last 10 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Olympiacos

5 of 9 in Euroleague

W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

8.9/10

Olympiacos Form Analysis

Trending

Olympiacos have won four of their last five games, including a notable 102-97 road win...

Olympiacos have won four of their last five games, including a notable 102-97 road win over Valencia and a dominant 89-66 home victory against Anadolu Efes. Their only blemish was a narrow road loss to Virtus Bologna. With nine days of rest before this one, fatigue isn't a concern, though a congested schedule looms afterward with two games in the following week. Vezenkov and the frontcourt have anchored their scoring, but the team faces some uncertainty with Karagiannidis and Plotas out and Dunston and Netzipoglou questionable, which could affect depth and rotations in this matchup.

Fenerbahce

6 of 10 in Euroleague

W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W

Form Rating

8/10

Fenerbahce Form Analysis

Analysis

Fenerbahce have won five of their last six outings, highlighted by a 99-80 blowout of...

Fenerbahce have won five of their last six outings, highlighted by a 99-80 blowout of Zalgiris Kaunas and a gritty win over Partizan. Their lone defeat came on the road at Panathinaikos, and notably they've played just one away Euroleague game all season, making this trip to Athens a real test of their away credentials. Seven days of rest leaves them fresh, with low fatigue risk and only one game in their next seven days. However, Fenerbahce will be without D. Demir and K. Yanci, with several other rotation players listed as questionable heading into this contest.

shieldOlympiacos4

  • Netzipoglou Omiros

    Questionable
  • Karagiannidis Antonios

    Injured
  • Plotas Nikolas

    Injured
  • Dunston Bryant

    Questionable
Netzipoglou Omiros
Karagiannidis Antonios
Plotas Nikolas
Dunston Bryant

shieldFenerbahce6

  • Bitim Onuralp

    Questionable
  • Sargiunas Ignas

    Questionable
  • Mahmutoglu Melih

    Questionable
  • D. Demir

    Injured
  • C. Silva

    Questionable
Bitim Onuralp
Sargiunas Ignas
Mahmutoglu Melih
D. Demir
C. Silva
K. Yanci

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

Olympiacos vs Fenerbahce - Match Analysis

Should I take Olympiacos to cover the spread against Fenerbahce?

Olympiacos carry a slight home-court edge and have been dominant at Olympiacos Arena in recent head-to-head meetings. With Fenerbahce having played just one true away Euroleague game this season, the hosts look like a reasonable, if modest, spread pick. Confidence is medium given how evenly matched these rosters are on paper and the absences on both sides.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

Both teams have demonstrated efficient scoring this season, with Olympiacos averaging just under 97 points and Fenerbahce proving capable of posting 90+ in recent outings. Combined scoring signals point toward a competitive, moderately high-scoring affair. Given both offenses' recent form, a lean toward the over feels justified, though defensive intensity in a marquee European matchup could temper the pace somewhat.

How significant is home court advantage for Olympiacos in this matchup?

Home court matters significantly here, as Olympiacos have historically been strong at their own arena against Fenerbahce, winning the last two meetings there. Fenerbahce's lack of road games this season adds further uncertainty to how they'll perform away from their comfort zone, making Olympiacos Arena a notable factor working in the home team's favor for this contest.

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