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Monaco
Monaco8th in Euroleague (20-16)
VS
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Hapoel Tel-Aviv5th in Euroleague (22-14)

Monaco vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Friday, Apr 17, 2026 · --:--

Monaco Arena

Final
Monaco
105–85
Hapoel Tel-Aviv

Monaco won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Monaco vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv prediction centers on a crucial Euroleague play-in battle at Monaco Arena. Monaco sits 8th with 20 points, desperately needing wins to secure their play-in position, while Hapoel Tel-Aviv holds 5th place with 22 points and a direct quarter-finals spot. Both teams enter with excellent rest - Monaco has 9 days off while Hapoel has 8 days, eliminating fatigue concerns. Monaco's home form has been solid (12-5 at home), averaging 94.4 points, but they've struggled on the road (8-11). Hapoel Tel-Aviv brings superior overall form with a 61.1% win rate compared to Monaco's 55.6%. The bookmaker consensus favors Monaco slightly at 51.4% vs 48.6%, reflecting the home court advantage worth approximately 2-3 points in European basketball. Recent head-to-head history favors Hapoel, who won 85-77 when Monaco visited earlier this season. With both teams averaging around 87-90 points and similar defensive ratings, this shapes up as a tight contest. Expert picks lean toward the visiting Hapoel Tel-Aviv to cover the spread, given their superior league position and recent form. NBA picks methodology suggests taking the better-positioned team in crucial late-season matchups, making Hapoel an attractive basketball betting tips selection.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 1 head-to-head matchups

Monaco (0)Hapoel Tel-Aviv (1)
Oct 23, 25
(H)Hapoel Tel-Aviv85 - 77Monaco(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head history strongly favors Hapoel Tel-Aviv, who dominated Monaco 85-77 in their only meeting this season when Monaco traveled...

Recent head-to-head history strongly favors Hapoel Tel-Aviv, who dominated Monaco 85-77 in their only meeting this season when Monaco traveled to Israel. That 8-point victory showcased Hapoel's ability to control pace and execute in crucial moments. Monaco struggled offensively in that matchup, managing just 77 points well below their season average. The psychological edge belongs to Hapoel, who will remember that comfortable victory. However, Monaco now enjoys home court advantage at Monaco Arena, which could shift the dynamic significantly in this return fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Monaco

0 of 15 in Euroleague

W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

9.3/10

Monaco Form Analysis

Trending

Monaco enters this crucial matchup with mixed recent form, having won 4 of their last...

Monaco enters this crucial matchup with mixed recent form, having won 4 of their last 6 games but showing inconsistency in their performances. Their home record of 12-5 demonstrates the value of Monaco Arena, where they average an impressive 94.4 points per game. The 9-day rest period has allowed Monaco to recover fully and prepare tactically for this vital play-in positioning game. Key players have had time to heal minor injuries, with several questionable players potentially returning. Monaco's offensive efficiency at home has been their strength, regularly exceeding 90 points in comfortable victories. However, their road struggles (8-11 away record) highlight their dependence on home court advantage. The pressure is mounting as they fight to maintain their 8th position and secure play-in tournament access.

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

0 of 15 in Euroleague

W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

8/10

Hapoel Tel-Aviv Form Analysis

Analysis

Hapoel Tel-Aviv arrives in Monaco with superior overall form and a commanding 5th place position...

Hapoel Tel-Aviv arrives in Monaco with superior overall form and a commanding 5th place position that guarantees direct quarter-finals access. Their 22-14 record reflects consistent performance throughout the season, with a solid 61.1% win rate. The 8-day rest period has been beneficial, allowing them to maintain fitness while avoiding fatigue. Away from home, Hapoel has managed a respectable 9-8 record, showing they can compete effectively on the road. Their recent domestic form has been excellent, with dominant victories including a 114-60 demolition of Hapoel Holon. The Israeli side averages 88 points per game with efficient offensive execution. Their defensive consistency has been key, allowing just 84.7 points per game. With their playoff position secure, Hapoel can play with freedom while still maintaining competitive intensity for seeding purposes.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Monaco20-1655.6%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv22-1461.1%
Avg Points Scored
Monaco90.0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv88.0
Avg Points Allowed
Monaco87.0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv84.7

shieldMonaco11

  • Tarpey Terry

    Injured
  • Theis Daniel

    Injured
  • Nedovic Nemanja

    Questionable
  • Michineau David

    Injured
  • Calathes Nick

    Injured
Tarpey Terry
Theis Daniel
Nedovic Nemanja
Michineau David
Calathes Nick
Makoundou Yoan
Y. Moungalla
Z. Mechergui
M. Klitschko
K. Michee
D. Paindepice

Showing 1-5 of 11 injuries

shieldHapoel Tel-Aviv10

  • Ziv Yiftach

    Injured
  • Timor Bar

    Injured
  • Ginat Tomer

    Injured
  • Segev Itay

    Injured
  • Ennis Tyler

    Injured
Ziv Yiftach
Timor Bar
Ginat Tomer
Segev Itay
Ennis Tyler
Madar Yam
Motley Johnathan
Cohen Sandy
Blayzer Oz
Palatin Guy

Showing 1-5 of 10 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Monaco+3.0
Hapoel Tel-Aviv+3.3

Monaco vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv - Match Analysis

Should I take Hapoel Tel-Aviv to cover the spread as road underdogs?

Yes, Hapoel Tel-Aviv offers strong value against the spread. Their superior league position (5th vs 8th), better overall record (61.1% vs 55.6% win rate), and dominant 85-77 head-to-head victory this season suggest they can compete effectively at Monaco Arena. The market's slight Monaco bias appears driven by home court advantage rather than underlying form, creating value for the visiting Israeli side.

Will this game go over or under 175.5 total points?

The total should lean toward the over, with both teams averaging strong offensive output (Monaco 90 PPG, Hapoel 88 PPG). The 9 and 8-day rest periods respectively ensure both teams enter at full strength. Their previous meeting produced 162 points, but expect higher scoring in Monaco's offensive-friendly home environment. The importance of playoff positioning should create an uptempo, high-scoring affair favoring the over.

How does the 9-day rest period affect Monaco's performance in this crucial game?

Monaco's extended 9-day rest period provides significant advantages for this crucial play-in positioning battle. The break allows full recovery from any minor injuries, with several questionable players potentially returning to strengthen their rotation. Fresh legs should enhance their home court advantage at Monaco Arena, where they average 94.4 points per game. However, the extended layoff could also create rhythm concerns early in the game.

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