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Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv6th in Euroleague (23-15)
VS
Real Madrid
Real Madrid3rd in Euroleague (24-14)

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid

Thursday, May 7, 2026 · --:--

Hapoel Tel Aviv Arena

Final
Hapoel Tel Aviv
78–87
Real Madrid

Real Madrid won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Hapoel Tel Aviv host Real Madrid in a crucial Euroleague clash at Hapoel Tel Aviv Arena, with both teams locked in playoff positioning battles. The Israeli side sits 6th with 23 points while Madrid occupy 3rd place with 24 points, making this a pivotal encounter for quarter-final seeding.

Both teams enter with identical 2-day rest periods, eliminating any schedule advantage. However, the recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor this exact matchup dynamic. Hapoel stunned Madrid 76-69 just two days ago at home, but Madrid had dominated the previous three encounters including a commanding 102-75 home victory.

Madrid's away form remains problematic with just 6 wins in 20 road games this season, while Hapoel have been solid at home with 14 wins from 20. The Israeli side average 88.8 points per game at home compared to Madrid's 82.8 on the road. Key injury concerns affect both squads, with Madrid missing center Edy Tavares and Hapoel dealing with multiple questionable players.

The total points market looks attractive given both teams' offensive capabilities and the high-scoring nature of their recent meetings. With playoff implications on the line and Hapoel's home court advantage against Madrid's poor road record, the spread presents value on the home side.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Last 5 head-to-head matchups

Hapoel Tel Aviv (1)Real Madrid (4)
May 5, 26
(H)Hapoel Tel Aviv76 - 69Real Madrid(A)
H
May 1, 26
(H)Real Madrid102 - 75Hapoel Tel Aviv(A)
H
Apr 29, 26
(H)Real Madrid86 - 82Hapoel Tel Aviv(A)
H
Mar 24, 26
(H)Real Madrid92 - 83Hapoel Tel-Aviv(A)
H
Nov 25, 25
(H)Hapoel Tel Aviv74 - 75Real Madrid(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings between these teams show a fascinating pattern, with Madrid winning 4 of the last 5 encounters but Hapoel...

Recent meetings between these teams show a fascinating pattern, with Madrid winning 4 of the last 5 encounters but Hapoel claiming the most recent victory 76-69 at home. Madrid's three previous wins came by margins of 27, 4, and 9 points respectively, demonstrating their ability to both blow out and grind past Hapoel. The total points in recent meetings have been relatively high, averaging around 160 points per game. Hapoel's lone recent victory came in a lower-scoring affair, suggesting they can win when they control the tempo and limit Madrid's offensive flow.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsEuroleague matches highlighted

Hapoel Tel Aviv

13 of 15 in Euroleague

W
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

2.7/10

Hapoel Tel Aviv Form Analysis

Trending

Hapoel Tel Aviv enter this contest with mixed recent form but strong home court momentum....

Hapoel Tel Aviv enter this contest with mixed recent form but strong home court momentum. They've won 4 of their last 7 games overall, including that crucial 76-69 victory over Madrid just two days ago. At home, they've been particularly effective, averaging 88.8 points per game while allowing 83.0. Their home record of 14-6 demonstrates their comfort level at Hapoel Tel Aviv Arena. The team has shown they can compete with elite opposition, recently defeating quality teams like Panathinaikos and Fenerbahce at home. However, injury concerns around Yam Madar and Collin Malcolm could impact their depth and rotation flexibility for this crucial encounter.

Real Madrid

9 of 15 in Euroleague

L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Real Madrid Form Analysis

Analysis

Real Madrid's away form continues to be their Achilles heel this season, managing just 6...

Real Madrid's away form continues to be their Achilles heel this season, managing just 6 wins in 20 road games. They average only 82.8 points per game away from home while conceding 85.6, a stark contrast to their dominant 20-1 home record. Recent road performances have been inconsistent, losing to Hapoel just days ago but showing quality in victories over Valencia and other ACB opponents. The absence of center Edy Tavares significantly impacts their interior presence and defensive anchoring. Madrid's road struggles stem from their inability to replicate their home offensive efficiency, often settling for difficult shots and struggling with hostile environments. Their 6-14 away record suggests systemic issues when playing outside the comfort of their home arena.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Hapoel Tel Aviv24-1758.5%
Real Madrid26-1563.4%
Avg Points Scored
Hapoel Tel Aviv87.5
Real Madrid87.8
Avg Points Allowed
Hapoel Tel Aviv85.4
Real Madrid82.7

shieldHapoel Tel Aviv6

  • Ziv Yiftach

    Injured
  • Malcolm Collin

    Questionable
  • Segev Itay

    Injured
  • Madar Yam

    Questionable
  • Blayzer Oz

    Injured
Ziv Yiftach
Malcolm Collin
Segev Itay
Madar Yam
Blayzer Oz
Palatin Guy

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldReal Madrid4

  • Procida Gabriele

    Questionable
  • Kramer David

    Questionable
  • Tavares Edy

    Injured
  • I. Almansa Perez

    Questionable
Procida Gabriele
Kramer David
Tavares Edy
I. Almansa Perez

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Unfavorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Hapoel Tel Aviv+2.1
Real Madrid+5.1

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Real Madrid - Match Analysis

Should I take Hapoel Tel Aviv to cover the spread against Real Madrid?

Yes, Hapoel represents strong value to cover the spread. Their recent 76-69 victory over Madrid demonstrates they can compete with this opponent at home. Madrid's terrible 6-14 away record contrasts with Hapoel's solid 14-6 home mark, creating a significant venue advantage. The absence of Madrid's center Edy Tavares further tilts the matchup toward the home side, who should be motivated by playoff positioning implications.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

The over looks attractive based on both teams' offensive capabilities and recent scoring trends. Hapoel average 88.8 points at home while Madrid allow 85.6 on the road, suggesting a high-scoring potential. Their recent meetings have featured competitive, up-tempo affairs with both teams capable of explosive offensive stretches. With playoff implications driving intensity, expect both sides to push pace and look for quick scoring opportunities throughout.

How important is home court advantage in this Euroleague matchup?

Home court is crucial in this matchup, particularly given Madrid's road struggles. Hapoel's 14-6 home record versus Madrid's 6-14 away mark represents a massive venue differential. The hostile atmosphere at Hapoel Tel Aviv Arena, combined with Madrid's documented difficulty playing away from home, creates a significant edge for the Israeli side. Recent evidence supports this, with Hapoel's 76-69 victory just two days ago demonstrating their ability to leverage home court against quality opposition.

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