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Shanghai
Shanghai1st in CBA (38-4)
VS
Zhejiang Guangsha
Zhejiang Guangsha2nd in CBA (33-9)

Shanghai vs Zhejiang Guangsha

Thursday, May 28, 2026 · --:--

Shanghai Arena

Final
Shanghai
91–88
Zhejiang Guangsha

Shanghai won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Shanghai host Zhejiang Guangsha at Shanghai Arena in what promises to be a pivotal playoff encounter between the CBA's top two seeds. Both teams enter with identical rest situations, having played just two days ago in their most recent playoff meeting where Shanghai secured a commanding 101-90 victory.

Shanghai's dominant regular season (44-5 record, 89.8% win rate) has translated seamlessly into the playoffs, with their balanced offensive attack averaging over 98 points per game. The home team has been particularly formidable at Shanghai Arena, posting a 24-1 home record during the regular campaign. Their recent form shows resilience, bouncing back from a rare loss to Beijing with four consecutive victories.

Zhejiang Guangsha, despite their strong 38-12 regular season, face significant challenges on the road where they managed just 15-10. The away team's 88.9 points per game on the road falls well short of Shanghai's home defensive standards. Key injury concerns surround multiple questionable players including Sun Minghui and Wang Xinrui, potentially limiting their rotation depth.

With both teams managing medium fixture congestion and similar fatigue levels, home court advantage becomes the decisive factor. Shanghai's superior offensive efficiency (2.02 PPG vs 1.84 PPG) and dominant head-to-head record in recent meetings point toward another home victory. Take Shanghai to cover the spread in this playoff atmosphere.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Shanghai (6)Zhejiang Guangsha (4)
May 26, 26
(H)Shanghai101 - 90Zhejiang Guangsha(A)
H
Jan 5, 26
(H)Shanghai99 - 77Zhejiang Guangsha(A)
H
Dec 21, 25
(H)Zhejiang Guangsha97 - 90Shanghai(A)
H
Mar 17, 25
(H)Zhejiang Guangsha114 - 101Shanghai(A)
H
Mar 7, 25
(H)Shanghai92 - 88Zhejiang Guangsha(A)
H
Mar 7, 24
(H)Zhejiang Guangsha99 - 102Shanghai(A)
A
Dec 25, 23
(H)Shanghai120 - 124Zhejiang Guangsha(A)
A
Jan 17, 23
(H)Zhejiang Guangsha85 - 95Shanghai(A)
A
Dec 18, 22
(H)Shanghai110 - 94Zhejiang Guangsha(A)
H
Apr 17, 22
(H)Shanghai100 - 103Zhejiang Guangsha(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Shanghai holds a commanding recent advantage over Zhejiang Guangsha, winning their most recent playoff meeting 101-90 on May 26th. Looking...

Shanghai holds a commanding recent advantage over Zhejiang Guangsha, winning their most recent playoff meeting 101-90 on May 26th. Looking at their last five encounters since 2025, Shanghai has won three times including both meetings at Shanghai Arena (99-77 in January 2026, 92-88 in March 2025). The teams split their away fixtures, with Guangsha winning 101-114 in March 2025 and Shanghai taking a thriller 97-90 in December 2025. Shanghai's home dominance in this matchup is clear, outscoring Guangsha by an average of 12 points per game at Shanghai Arena across recent meetings.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsCBA matches highlighted

Shanghai

15 of 15 in CBA

W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

9.3/10

Shanghai Form Analysis

Trending

Shanghai enters this playoff clash riding exceptional momentum with four wins in their last five...

Shanghai enters this playoff clash riding exceptional momentum with four wins in their last five games, including their recent 101-90 victory over Guangsha. Their offensive consistency has been remarkable, scoring 90+ points in nine of their last ten outings. The team's depth has shone through during their playoff run, with balanced contributions across the roster despite L. Liu's extended absence and H. Whiteside's questionable status. At home, Shanghai has been virtually unstoppable with a 24-1 regular season record at Shanghai Arena. Their 97.8 points per game at home paired with allowing just 81.9 demonstrates the perfect combination of offensive firepower and defensive intensity that makes them so dangerous in familiar surroundings.

Zhejiang Guangsha

15 of 15 in CBA

L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Zhejiang Guangsha Form Analysis

Analysis

Zhejiang Guangsha's recent form shows concerning inconsistency, particularly on the road where they've struggled throughout...

Zhejiang Guangsha's recent form shows concerning inconsistency, particularly on the road where they've struggled throughout the season. Their 15-10 away record during the regular season highlighted road difficulties that have persisted into the playoffs. The team has won just two of their last five games, including the disappointing 90-101 loss to Shanghai in their most recent outing. Multiple injury concerns cloud their preparation, with M. Williams and Z. Mengze ruled out, while four key players including Sun Minghui carry questionable tags. Their away scoring average of 88.9 points per game represents a significant drop from their 94.7 home average, suggesting they struggle to maintain offensive rhythm in hostile environments like Shanghai Arena.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Shanghai44-589.8%
Zhejiang Guangsha38-1276.0%
Avg Points Scored
Shanghai98.8
Zhejiang Guangsha91.8
Avg Points Allowed
Shanghai83.2
Zhejiang Guangsha83.3

shieldShanghai3

  • Yuan Tangwen

    Questionable
  • H. Whiteside

    Questionable
  • L. Liu

    Injured
Yuan Tangwen
H. Whiteside
L. Liu

shieldZhejiang Guangsha6

  • Sun Minghui

    Questionable
  • Wang Xinrui

    Questionable
  • Zhao Yanhao

    Questionable
  • M. Williams

    Injured
  • Z. Mengze

    Injured
Sun Minghui
Wang Xinrui
Zhao Yanhao
M. Williams
Z. Mengze
C. Xinquan

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Shanghai+15.6
Zhejiang Guangsha+8.5

Shanghai vs Zhejiang Guangsha - Match Analysis

Should I take Shanghai to cover the -4.5 spread in this playoff matchup?

Yes, Shanghai -4.5 offers strong value given their 24-1 home record and dominant recent head-to-head performance against Guangsha. The home team won their most recent meeting by 11 points and has consistently outperformed Guangsha at Shanghai Arena. With multiple Guangsha players carrying injury concerns and their documented road struggles (15-10 away record), Shanghai's spread coverage looks highly probable in this playoff atmosphere.

Will this playoff game go over or under 191.5 total points?

Lean toward the Under 191.5 as playoff basketball typically features increased defensive intensity and slower pace compared to regular season averages. Shanghai's home defense has been exceptional, allowing just 81.9 points per game, while Guangsha's road offense averages only 88.9 points. The combination of playoff pressure, potential injury-limited rotations for Guangsha, and Shanghai's defensive prowess at home suggests a lower-scoring affair than the total implies.

How do the injury concerns affect Zhejiang Guangsha's chances?

Guangsha's injury situation significantly impacts their playoff prospects, with M. Williams and Z. Mengze ruled out while four key players including Sun Minghui carry questionable tags. These absences limit their rotation depth and force adjustments against Shanghai's balanced attack. Road games are already challenging for Guangsha (15-10 away record), and reduced depth makes it even harder to match Shanghai's energy and execution at Shanghai Arena in this high-stakes playoff environment.

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