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Valencia
Valencia2nd in ACB (25-9)
VS
Joventut Badalona
Joventut Badalona6th in ACB (22-12)

Valencia vs Joventut Badalona

Friday, Jun 12, 2026 · --:--

Valencia Arena

Final
Valencia
90–76
Joventut Badalona

Valencia won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Valencia faces Joventut Badalona in a crucial ACB playoff clash between two teams separated by just four positions in the standings. Valencia enters this matchup with superior form, having won five of their last six ACB matches including impressive victories over Barcelona and Bilbao. The team's 94.1 points per game average demonstrates their offensive firepower, though they'll be without Thompson Darius and I. Nogues Gonzalez, while Matt Costello remains questionable.

Joventut Badalona arrives with mixed recent form, splitting their last four games against Baskonia in their playoff series. Their away record of 9-10 this season highlights potential vulnerability, particularly against Valencia's strong offensive attack. The visitors are missing key contributors A. Torres De La Torre, D. Niebla, and M. Allen, which could impact their depth.

Both teams benefit from adequate rest with no back-to-back concerns, though Valencia enjoys a slight edge with seven rest days compared to Joventut's five. The head-to-head record since 2024 favors Valencia 4-2, including a recent 95-84 Spanish Cup victory. Valencia's superior offensive efficiency and current momentum make them the logical choice to cover a moderate spread in what should be a competitive playoff encounter.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Valencia (6)Joventut Badalona (4)
Feb 19, 26
(H)Valencia95 - 84Joventut Badalona(A)
H
Feb 8, 26
(H)Joventut Badalona90 - 87Valencia(A)
H
Oct 26, 25
(H)Valencia102 - 90Joventut Badalona(A)
H
Mar 15, 25
(H)Joventut Badalona89 - 104Valencia(A)
A
Oct 5, 24
(H)Valencia84 - 60Joventut Badalona(A)
H
May 4, 24
(H)Valencia83 - 76Joventut Badalona(A)
H
Nov 5, 23
(H)Joventut Badalona80 - 76Valencia(A)
H
Apr 9, 23
(H)Joventut Badalona85 - 70Valencia(A)
H
Oct 2, 22
(H)Valencia101 - 97Joventut Badalona(A)
H
Mar 12, 22
(H)Joventut Badalona76 - 68Valencia(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Valencia holds a commanding 4-2 advantage in their last six meetings since 2024, including three victories at neutral venues. Their...

Valencia holds a commanding 4-2 advantage in their last six meetings since 2024, including three victories at neutral venues. Their most recent encounter in February's Spanish Cup saw Valencia prevail 95-84, showcasing their ability to outscore Joventut in high-stakes situations. The average combined score in these six games is 175 points, indicating both teams' offensive capabilities. Valencia has consistently found ways to win the crucial moments, particularly evident in their 102-90 victory in October 2025 and the narrow 101-97 triumph in 2022.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Valencia

9 of 15 in ACB

W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

6/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Trending

Valencia enters with excellent momentum, winning five of their last six ACB matches while averaging...

Valencia enters with excellent momentum, winning five of their last six ACB matches while averaging 94.5 points during this stretch. Their recent 102-77 demolition of Barcelona and commanding 105-81 victory over Gran Canaria demonstrate their offensive potency. The team has shown resilience in close games, evidenced by consecutive narrow wins over Bilbao (83-80, 88-71). With seven days of rest, Valencia should be physically fresh despite their demanding Euroleague schedule. Their 75% win rate this season reflects consistent performance, though the absence of Thompson Darius and uncertainty around Matt Costello's availability could impact their backcourt depth.

Joventut Badalona

13 of 15 in ACB

W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
L
W
L

Form Rating

6/10

Joventut Badalona Form Analysis

Analysis

Joventut Badalona's recent form shows inconsistency, particularly in their playoff series against Baskonia where they've...

Joventut Badalona's recent form shows inconsistency, particularly in their playoff series against Baskonia where they've alternated between dominant performances (82-63 home win) and disappointing defeats (71-85 away loss). Their 9-10 away record this season highlights struggles on the road, averaging just 84.5 points compared to 86.1 at their home venue. The team's 64.9% win rate demonstrates quality, but their recent 77-82 loss to Basquet Girona raises concerns about consistency. Missing three key rotation players including A. Torres De La Torre and M. Allen significantly impacts their depth, particularly problematic in a playoff environment where rotations tighten.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Valencia27-975.0%
Joventut Badalona24-1364.9%
Avg Points Scored
Valencia94.1
Joventut Badalona85.3
Avg Points Allowed
Valencia82.8
Joventut Badalona81.1

shieldValencia3

  • Thompson Darius

    Injured
  • Costello Matt

    Questionable
  • I. Nogues Gonzalez

    Injured
Thompson Darius
Costello Matt
I. Nogues Gonzalez

shieldJoventut Badalona3

  • M. Allen

    Injured
  • A. Torres De La Torre

    Injured
  • D. Niebla

    Injured
M. Allen
A. Torres De La Torre
D. Niebla

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Valencia+11.3
Joventut Badalona+4.2

Valencia vs Joventut Badalona - Match Analysis

Should I take Valencia to cover the spread against Joventut Badalona?

Valencia presents strong value to cover a moderate spread based on their superior recent form and 4-2 head-to-head advantage since 2024. Their 94.1 points per game average and five wins in six recent ACB matches demonstrate consistent offensive production. Joventut's 9-10 away record and missing three rotation players create additional concerns for the visitors in this crucial playoff matchup.

Will this game go over or under 175.5 points?

The Over appears attractive given both teams' offensive capabilities and recent scoring trends. Valencia averages 94.1 points per game while Joventut contributes 85.3, suggesting a combined total near 180 points. Their head-to-head meetings since 2024 average 175 points, and both teams' playoff intensity should maintain offensive efficiency despite the stakes involved.

How do the injury concerns affect this matchup?

Valencia's injury situation is less concerning with Thompson Darius and I. Nogues Gonzalez out, while Matt Costello remains questionable. Joventut faces more significant depth issues with three rotation players unavailable including A. Torres De La Torre and M. Allen. These absences particularly impact Joventut's bench production and defensive versatility, creating additional pressure on their remaining healthy players in a demanding playoff environment.

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