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Valencia
Valencia2nd in ACB (16-6)
VS
Granada
Granada18th in ACB (1-20)

Valencia vs Granada

Sunday, Mar 22, 2026 · --:--

Valencia Arena

Final
Valencia
107–91
Granada

Valencia won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Valencia vs Granada prediction highlights a massive mismatch between ACB's second-place team and the league's bottom dwellers. Valencia (16-6, 72.7% win rate) hosts Granada (1-20, 4.8% win rate) at Valencia Arena in what should be a routine home victory. Valencia averages 94.7 points per game while conceding just 81.4, creating a +13.3 point differential that dwarfs Granada's -11.7 margin. The home team has dominated this fixture historically, winning 5 of their last 7 meetings including a crushing 120-94 victory earlier this season. Valencia's recent form shows quality wins over Murcia (110-84) and strong Euroleague performances, while Granada sits dead last with just one win all season. Expert picks favor Valencia heavily in this NBA picks-style mismatch, with the 15+ point spread reflecting the gulf in class. Valencia's superior offensive rating and home court advantage at Valencia Arena make this basketball betting tips selection straightforward.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Valencia16-672.7%
Granada1-204.8%
Avg Points Scored
Valencia94.7
Granada79.7
Avg Points Allowed
Valencia81.4
Granada91.4
Point Differential
Valencia+13.3
Granada-11.7

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Valencia vs Granada - Match Analysis

Should I take Valencia to cover the -15.5 spread against Granada?

Yes, Valencia should cover comfortably given their 10-1 home record and Granada's 0-11 away struggles. Valencia averages 97.5 points at home while Granada allows 92.2 on the road, creating a natural 20+ point differential. Their previous meeting this season saw Valencia win by 26 points, and Granada's single-win season suggests they lack competitive fight.

Will this game go over or under 175.5 total points?

The Over 175.5 looks appealing based on Valencia's home scoring patterns and Granada's defensive frailties. Valencia averages 94.7 points per game while Granada concedes 91.4, suggesting a combined total around 180+ points. Valencia's home games typically feature higher scoring due to their offensive efficiency and pace, making the Over the preferred play.

How does Granada's 14-day rest period affect this matchup?

Granada's extended rest provides minimal advantage given their fundamental quality issues and 1-20 record. While physically fresh, their season-long struggles with offensive execution and defensive organization won't be solved by rest alone. Valencia's seven-day break offers optimal preparation without rustiness, maintaining their significant talent and tactical advantages over the league's worst team.

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Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Valencia (5)Granada (2)
Nov 9, 25
(H)Granada85 - 79Valencia(A)
H
Mar 30, 25
(H)Granada69 - 97Valencia(A)
A
Jan 11, 25
(H)Valencia120 - 94Granada(A)
H
Apr 14, 24
(H)Granada81 - 88Valencia(A)
A
Dec 23, 23
(H)Valencia75 - 81Granada(A)
A
Mar 19, 23
(H)Valencia80 - 72Granada(A)
H
Dec 18, 22
(H)Granada81 - 110Valencia(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Valencia dominates this head-to-head matchup with a 5-2 record in their last seven meetings since 2022. Most significantly, Valencia crushed...

Valencia dominates this head-to-head matchup with a 5-2 record in their last seven meetings since 2022. Most significantly, Valencia crushed Granada 120-94 earlier this season at home, showcasing their offensive firepower. However, Granada did manage a surprising 85-79 upset victory in November 2025, their only win of the season. Valencia has outscored Granada by an average of 15 points across recent meetings, with the aggregate score heavily favoring the home team.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Valencia

6 of 15 in ACB

L
L
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Trending

Valencia enters this match in solid form despite recent Euroleague struggles, sitting second in ACB...

Valencia enters this match in solid form despite recent Euroleague struggles, sitting second in ACB with 16 wins from 22 games. Their home record is exceptional at 10-1, averaging 97.5 points while conceding just 77.9 at Valencia Arena. Recent performances show their offensive capabilities with a 110-84 demolition of Murcia and competitive Euroleague displays against elite opposition. With seven days of rest since their last game, Valencia should be fresh and motivated to bounce back from recent away defeats. Their 94.7 points per game average demonstrates consistent offensive production, while their defensive solidity (81.4 PPG allowed) provides the foundation for another comfortable home victory.

Granada

15 of 15 in ACB

L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

0/10

Granada Form Analysis

Analysis

Granada's season has been catastrophic, managing just one victory in 21 attempts for a woeful...

Granada's season has been catastrophic, managing just one victory in 21 attempts for a woeful 4.8% win rate. Their away record is particularly dire at 0-11, averaging only 77.4 points while shipping 92.2 per game on the road. Recent form shows heavy defeats including a 109-73 thrashing at Joventut Badalona and a 94-79 loss to Real Madrid. Despite having 14 days of rest, Granada's fundamental issues remain unchanged - poor offensive execution (79.7 PPG) and defensive frailties (91.4 PPG conceded). Multiple injury concerns further weaken their already limited roster depth, making this trip to Valencia Arena another uphill battle for the relegation-bound visitors.

shieldValencia5

  • Iroegbu Ike

    Injured
  • Thompson Darius

    Questionable
  • Sima Yankuba

    Injured
  • Taylor Kameron

    Injured
  • I. Nogues Gonzalez

    Injured
Iroegbu Ike
Thompson Darius
Sima Yankuba
Taylor Kameron
I. Nogues Gonzalez

shieldGranada10

  • Howard William

    Questionable
  • Thomas Matt

    Injured
  • Aurrecoechea Ivan

    Injured
  • Valtonen Elias

    Injured
  • Burjanadze Beka

    Questionable
Howard William
Thomas Matt
Aurrecoechea Ivan
Valtonen Elias
Burjanadze Beka
Speight Micah
Hankins Zachary
Duran Eduardo
Kljajic Jovan
Munnings Travis

Showing 1-5 of 10 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.