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Valencia
Valencia3rd in ACB (21-8)
VS
Bilbao
Bilbao9th in ACB (16-14)

Valencia vs Bilbao

Sunday, May 17, 2026 · --:--

Valencia Arena

Final
Valencia
88–83
Bilbao

Valencia won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Valencia host Bilbao at Valencia Arena in a crucial ACB clash between playoff contenders. The home side sit 3rd in the table with 21 wins from 29 games, while Bilbao occupy 9th position with 16 victories from 30 matches - a significant six-place gap that highlights the quality difference.

Both teams enter with adequate rest, having played seven and eight days ago respectively, eliminating fatigue concerns. Valencia's superior offensive output (94.4 PPG vs 84.7 PPG) and home court advantage at Valencia Arena should prove decisive against a Bilbao side that struggles on the road with just 5 wins in 15 away games.

The head-to-head record since 2026 heavily favors Valencia, who won their most recent meeting 89-70 at home in March 2025. Bilbao's away form remains problematic, averaging 83.3 points while conceding 92.3 on the road - a concerning defensive vulnerability.

With Valencia targeting playoff positioning and Bilbao fighting to stay in contention, expect the home side's superior talent and venue advantage to control this matchup. Valencia -8.5 offers value given their dominance in recent meetings and Bilbao's road struggles.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Valencia (6)Bilbao (4)
Jan 2, 26
(H)Bilbao72 - 116Valencia(A)
A
Mar 8, 25
(H)Valencia89 - 70Bilbao(A)
H
Oct 27, 24
(H)Bilbao98 - 103Valencia(A)
A
Feb 11, 24
(H)Bilbao93 - 78Valencia(A)
H
Dec 3, 23
(H)Valencia79 - 85Bilbao(A)
A
Apr 22, 23
(H)Valencia95 - 88Bilbao(A)
H
Oct 9, 22
(H)Bilbao71 - 65Valencia(A)
H
Apr 9, 22
(H)Bilbao84 - 78Valencia(A)
H
Nov 20, 21
(H)Valencia100 - 84Bilbao(A)
H
Apr 25, 21
(H)Valencia99 - 90Bilbao(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Valencia hold a commanding recent advantage over Bilbao in head-to-head meetings. Their most recent encounter in March 2025 saw Valencia...

Valencia hold a commanding recent advantage over Bilbao in head-to-head meetings. Their most recent encounter in March 2025 saw Valencia cruise to an 89-70 home victory, showcasing their superiority at Valencia Arena. The previous meeting in January 2026 was even more emphatic, with Valencia winning 116-72 when visiting Bilbao. This dominant recent form, combined with Valencia's home court advantage, suggests they should control this matchup comfortably against a Bilbao side that has struggled in away fixtures throughout the season.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Valencia

6 of 15 in ACB

W
W
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Trending

Valencia enter this fixture in solid form despite recent Euroleague disappointments against Panathinaikos. Their 21-8...

Valencia enter this fixture in solid form despite recent Euroleague disappointments against Panathinaikos. Their 21-8 ACB record reflects consistent domestic excellence, with particularly strong home form showing 12 wins from 14 games at Valencia Arena. The team averages an impressive 97.6 points per game at home while conceding just 80.9, demonstrating both offensive firepower and defensive solidity on familiar territory. Key players like Costello Matt and Thompson Darius have maintained high performance levels, though questionable injury statuses for I. Nogues Gonzalez, Puerto Josep, and Sima Yankuba require monitoring. Their playoff positioning remains secure, but maintaining momentum is crucial.

Bilbao

9 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

6/10

Bilbao Form Analysis

Analysis

Bilbao's season has been inconsistent, reflected in their 16-14 record and 9th place standing. Their...

Bilbao's season has been inconsistent, reflected in their 16-14 record and 9th place standing. Their away form presents major concerns with just 5 wins from 15 road games, averaging only 83.3 points while conceding 92.3 - a defensive vulnerability that Valencia should exploit. Recent results show mixed form with a loss to Forca Lleida followed by a home win against Granada. The team's negative goal difference (-52) highlights their struggles to maintain consistency across competitions. Questionable injury statuses for K. De Castro, Lazarevic Stefan, and Sylla Amar could further impact their rotation depth for this challenging away fixture.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Valencia21-872.4%
Bilbao16-1453.3%
Avg Points Scored
Valencia94.4
Bilbao84.7
Avg Points Allowed
Valencia83.2
Bilbao86.4

shieldValencia3

  • Sima Yankuba

    Questionable

  • Puerto Josep

    Questionable

  • I. Nogues Gonzalez

    Questionable
Sima Yankuba
Puerto Josep
I. Nogues Gonzalez

shieldBilbao3

  • Sylla Amar

    Questionable

  • Lazarevic Stefan

    Questionable

  • K. De Castro

    Questionable
Sylla Amar
Lazarevic Stefan
K. De Castro

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Valencia+11.2
Bilbao-1.7

Valencia vs Bilbao - Match Analysis

Should I take Valencia to cover the -8.5 spread?

Yes, Valencia -8.5 offers excellent value. Their 6-place league advantage, dominant home form (12-2), and recent head-to-head dominance (89-70 and 116-72 wins) suggest they should comfortably cover against Bilbao's poor away record (5-10). The home side's superior offensive output and Bilbao's road defensive struggles create ideal conditions for a convincing Valencia victory that exceeds the spread.

Will this game go over or under 180.5 points?

The Over 180.5 appears likely given Valencia's high-scoring home games (97.6 PPG average) and Bilbao's defensive vulnerabilities on the road (92.3 PPG conceded). Valencia's offensive firepower at Valencia Arena, combined with Bilbao's tendency to concede heavily in away fixtures, should push this total above the line. Both teams' recent meetings have featured decent scoring, supporting the over case.

How important is home court advantage in this matchup?

Home court advantage is crucial for Valencia in this fixture. Their home record (12-2) contrasts sharply with Bilbao's away struggles (5-10), while Valencia Arena has proven a fortress with 97.6 PPG scored and just 80.9 conceded. The familiar surroundings, crowd support, and elimination of travel fatigue give Valencia significant edges that should prove decisive against a Bilbao side that consistently underperforms on the road.

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