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Unicaja
Unicaja8th in ACB (16-12)
VS
Gran Canaria
Gran Canaria16th in ACB (8-20)

Unicaja vs Gran Canaria

Wednesday, Apr 29, 2026 · --:--

Unicaja Arena

Final
Unicaja
100–101
Gran Canaria

Gran Canaria won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Unicaja hosts Gran Canaria at Unicaja Arena in a crucial ACB clash between teams with vastly different seasons. The hosts sit 8th with playoff aspirations intact, while Gran Canaria languishes in 16th place, fighting relegation battles.

Unicaja enters with solid form, having won 3 of their last 5 games including a commanding 91-72 victory over Forca Lleida. Their home record (10-5) provides a significant advantage, averaging 92.1 points per game at Unicaja Arena. With 4 days rest since their last outing, fatigue won't be a factor for the hosts.

Gran Canaria's struggles continue with just 8 wins from 28 games this season. Their recent form shows inconsistency - mixing a 100-90 home win over Girona with losses to lower-ranked teams. Away from home, they've managed only 4 wins in 13 attempts, averaging 81.0 points per game.

The bookmaker consensus heavily favors Unicaja at 72.1% probability, reflecting the 8-place gap in standings and home court advantage. With both teams averaging over 170 combined points per game, this shapes up as a high-scoring affair where Unicaja's superior firepower should prevail comfortably.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Unicaja (4)Gran Canaria (6)
Oct 11, 25
(H)Gran Canaria72 - 81Unicaja(A)
A
Mar 30, 25
(H)Gran Canaria91 - 89Unicaja(A)
H
Dec 14, 24
(H)Unicaja88 - 94Gran Canaria(A)
A
Jan 13, 24
(H)Unicaja80 - 77Gran Canaria(A)
H
Oct 8, 23
(H)Gran Canaria76 - 69Unicaja(A)
H
Feb 4, 23
(H)Gran Canaria88 - 70Unicaja(A)
H
Oct 2, 22
(H)Unicaja70 - 63Gran Canaria(A)
H
Mar 12, 22
(H)Gran Canaria76 - 59Unicaja(A)
H
Sep 25, 21
(H)Unicaja79 - 80Gran Canaria(A)
A
Mar 13, 21
(H)Unicaja82 - 76Gran Canaria(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings favor a competitive series despite the current form disparity. In their most recent encounter this season, Unicaja...

Recent head-to-head meetings favor a competitive series despite the current form disparity. In their most recent encounter this season, Unicaja won 81-72 away at Gran Canaria, demonstrating their ability to control this matchup. Over the last two seasons, the series has been evenly contested with both teams claiming victories. However, Unicaja has shown better consistency in these meetings, particularly when playing at home where they've historically performed stronger against Gran Canaria.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Unicaja

10 of 15 in ACB

W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

5.3/10

Unicaja Form Analysis

Trending

Unicaja's recent form reflects a team finding rhythm at the right time. Their 91-72 demolition...

Unicaja's recent form reflects a team finding rhythm at the right time. Their 91-72 demolition of Forca Lleida showcased their offensive capabilities, while previous wins over Girona (90-83) and MoraBanc Andorra (91-79) demonstrate consistency. At home, they're averaging an impressive 92.1 points per game with a solid 10-5 record. The 4-day rest period eliminates any fatigue concerns, and their playoff position (8th place) provides strong motivation. Key players like Duarte Chris and Perry Kendrick have been instrumental in their recent surge, though injury concerns around A. Rubit and K. Tillie (both questionable) could impact rotation depth.

Gran Canaria

11 of 15 in ACB

W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

2.7/10

Gran Canaria Form Analysis

Analysis

Gran Canaria's season has been a struggle, reflected in their 16th place position with just...

Gran Canaria's season has been a struggle, reflected in their 16th place position with just 8 wins. Their recent 100-90 victory over Girona provided a rare bright spot, but losses to Zaragoza (74-78) and Baskonia (86-88) highlight their inconsistency. Away from home, they've been particularly vulnerable with only 4 wins in 13 games, averaging 81.0 points per game. The absence of Labeyrie Louis (6 games missed) has impacted their frontcourt depth. Players like Robertson Kassius and Metu Chimezie need to step up significantly to compete with Unicaja's home advantage and superior form.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Unicaja16-1257.1%
Gran Canaria8-2028.6%
Avg Points Scored
Unicaja87.7
Gran Canaria80.7
Avg Points Allowed
Unicaja85.8
Gran Canaria85.4

shieldUnicaja3

  • Djedovic Nihad

    Questionable
  • A. Rubit

    Questionable
  • K. Tillie

    Questionable
Djedovic Nihad
A. Rubit
K. Tillie

shieldGran Canaria1

  • Labeyrie Louis

    Injured
Labeyrie Louis

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Moderate

Point Differential
Unicaja+1.9
Gran Canaria-4.7

Unicaja vs Gran Canaria - Match Analysis

Should I take Unicaja to cover the -6.5 spread?

Yes, Unicaja -6.5 offers good value. Their home record (10-5) and 92.1 PPG average at Unicaja Arena, combined with Gran Canaria's poor away form (4-9), suggests they should win by more than 6.5 points. The 8-place standings gap reflects a genuine quality difference that should manifest in a comfortable home victory.

Will this game go over 175.5 total points?

Strong likelihood for the Over. Unicaja averages 87.7 PPG while Gran Canaria scores 80.7 PPG, suggesting a combined 168+ baseline. However, Unicaja's home scoring jumps to 92.1 PPG, and their recent high-scoring games (91-72, 90-83) indicate offensive rhythm. Gran Canaria's defensive struggles away from home support a high-scoring outcome.

How does Unicaja's 4-day rest advantage affect this matchup?

The rest advantage significantly favors Unicaja, eliminating any fatigue concerns while allowing time for tactical preparation. Fresh legs should enhance their already strong home offensive output (92.1 PPG). Meanwhile, Gran Canaria's travel fatigue and season-long struggles suggest they'll struggle to match Unicaja's energy levels, particularly in the crucial third and fourth quarters.

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