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Tenerife
Tenerife8th in ACB (18-16)
VS
Real Madrid
Real Madrid1st in ACB (26-8)

Tenerife vs Real Madrid

Thursday, Jun 4, 2026 · --:--

Tenerife Arena

Final
Tenerife
83–118
Real Madrid

Real Madrid won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Tenerife faces Real Madrid in a crucial ACB clash between two teams heading in opposite directions. Real Madrid sits atop the league table with 26 wins from 34 games, while Tenerife occupies 8th place with 18 victories, securing the final playoff spot.

Real Madrid arrives in poor form, suffering five consecutive losses including defeats to Manresa, Baskonia, and Olympiacos. The league leaders have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 89.4 points in recent outings while their offense has been inconsistent. Key players Campazzo Facundo, Lyles Trey, and Procida Gabriele are all questionable, with Len Alex ruled out completely.

Tenerife's recent form is equally concerning, managing just one win in their last five ACB matches. They've lost four of five, including home defeats to Bilbao and Barcelona. Multiple players face fitness concerns, with Giedraitis Rokas and M. Sangare confirmed out, while four others including Fitipaldo Bruno and Shermadini Giorgi are questionable.

Despite both teams' poor form, Real Madrid's superior season-long performance and deeper roster should prove decisive. Their 92.9 points per game average exceeds Tenerife's 89.4, while their defensive metrics remain marginally better. With both teams well-rested after six days off, expect a competitive but low-scoring affair given recent defensive improvements from both sides.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Tenerife (2)Real Madrid (8)
Apr 19, 26
(H)Real Madrid90 - 95Tenerife(A)
A
Dec 7, 25
(H)Tenerife70 - 71Real Madrid(A)
A
Sep 27, 25
(H)Real Madrid72 - 71Tenerife(A)
H
Apr 13, 25
(H)Tenerife68 - 79Real Madrid(A)
A
Jan 12, 25
(H)Real Madrid96 - 86Tenerife(A)
H
Mar 10, 24
(H)Real Madrid80 - 78Tenerife(A)
H
Oct 22, 23
(H)Tenerife76 - 82Real Madrid(A)
A
Feb 5, 23
(H)Real Madrid88 - 77Tenerife(A)
H
Dec 18, 22
(H)Tenerife67 - 80Real Madrid(A)
A
Apr 3, 22
(H)Tenerife72 - 59Real Madrid(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor Tenerife, who have won four of the last five encounters since 2024. Most notably, Tenerife...

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor Tenerife, who have won four of the last five encounters since 2024. Most notably, Tenerife defeated Real Madrid 95-90 in their most recent meeting in April 2026, continuing a remarkable run of success against the league leaders. However, these results came during different phases of both teams' seasons, and Real Madrid's overall quality suggests this trend may not continue in crucial late-season encounters.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Tenerife

10 of 15 in ACB

L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Tenerife Form Analysis

Trending

Tenerife enters this match in concerning form, winning just one of their last five ACB...

Tenerife enters this match in concerning form, winning just one of their last five ACB fixtures. Their recent 82-87 home loss to Bilbao highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, while narrow defeats to Barcelona (97-102) and Joventut Badalona (98-100) showed they can compete but struggle to close out tight games. The team averages 89.4 points per game but has been inconsistent offensively. Injury concerns mount with Giedraitis Rokas and M. Sangare definitely out, while four key players including Fitipaldo Bruno face fitness tests. Their playoff position remains secure, but momentum is lacking heading into this crucial encounter.

Real Madrid

8 of 15 in ACB

L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Real Madrid Form Analysis

Analysis

Real Madrid's recent form represents a dramatic collapse for the league leaders, losing five straight...

Real Madrid's recent form represents a dramatic collapse for the league leaders, losing five straight games across all competitions. Defeats to lower-ranked teams like Manresa (87-94) and Baskonia (83-88) have raised serious questions about their readiness for playoff basketball. Despite averaging 92.9 points per game this season, they've struggled to reach 90 points in recent outings. The absence of Len Alex has hurt their interior presence, while questionable status for Campazzo Facundo, Lyles Trey, and Procida Gabriele creates additional uncertainty. However, their superior season-long statistics and championship experience provide reasons for optimism in this crucial late-season test.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Tenerife18-1652.9%
Real Madrid26-876.5%
Avg Points Scored
Tenerife89.4
Real Madrid92.9
Avg Points Allowed
Tenerife86.5
Real Madrid85.5

shieldTenerife6

  • Giedraitis Rokas

    Injured
  • Shermadini Giorgi

    Questionable
  • Fitipaldo Bruno

    Questionable
  • Lopez-Arostegui Xabier

    Questionable
  • D. Bordon

    Questionable
Giedraitis Rokas
Shermadini Giorgi
Fitipaldo Bruno
Lopez-Arostegui Xabier
D. Bordon
M. Sangare

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldReal Madrid4

  • Len Alex

    Injured
  • Lyles Trey

    Questionable
  • Procida Gabriele

    Questionable
  • Campazzo Facundo

    Questionable
Len Alex
Lyles Trey
Procida Gabriele
Campazzo Facundo

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Tenerife+2.9
Real Madrid+7.4

Tenerife vs Real Madrid - Match Analysis

Can Real Madrid end their five-game losing streak against Tenerife?

Real Madrid should break their losing run despite recent struggles. Their superior season statistics (76.5% win rate vs 52.9%) and deeper roster provide advantages over a Tenerife team also in poor form. While Tenerife has dominated recent head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid's championship experience and motivation to secure top seeding should prove decisive in this crucial late-season encounter.

Will this game go over or under the total points line?

The under appears attractive given both teams' recent scoring difficulties and extensive injury lists. Real Madrid has struggled to reach 90 points in recent games, while Tenerife managed just 82 in their last outing. With key players questionable for both sides and defensive improvements evident in recent matches, expect a grind-it-out affair that stays below typical ACB scoring totals.

How do the injury concerns affect this matchup?

Both teams face significant availability questions that could impact game flow and scoring. Real Madrid's Len Alex is definitely out, while Campazzo Facundo and others are questionable. Tenerife has confirmed absences for Giedraitis Rokas and M. Sangare, plus four questionable players. These uncertainties favor a more conservative approach, with reduced offensive efficiency likely as rotations are shortened and key contributors potentially limited.

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