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Tenerife
Tenerife8th in ACB (18-16)
VS
Bilbao
Bilbao7th in ACB (19-15)

Tenerife vs Bilbao

Friday, May 29, 2026 · --:--

Tenerife Arena

Final
Tenerife
82–87
Bilbao

Bilbao won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Tenerife faces Bilbao in a crucial ACB matchup between two teams locked on 17 points but separated by goal difference. Both sides sit in the playoff hunt, with Tenerife currently 7th and Bilbao 9th in the standings.

Tenerife enters with concerning form, managing just one win in their last five ACB games despite a recent 109-96 victory over Granada. Their European commitments have taken a toll, with multiple losses in Champions League action affecting their domestic rhythm. Key players Doornekamp Aaron and Giedraitis Rokas remain sidelined, while veteran playmaker Huertas Marcelo is questionable.

Bilbao arrives with superior rest, having not played for 12 days compared to Tenerife's 5-day break. Their recent ACB form shows promise with wins over Real Madrid (88-82) and Granada (88-83), though they struggle significantly on the road with just 5 wins in 16 away games this season.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Tenerife, who won the most recent meeting 95-78 in January. Both teams average similar scoring outputs around 85 points per game, but Tenerife's superior goal difference (+92 vs -51) reflects their better overall consistency. With playoff positioning at stake and Bilbao's poor away record, Tenerife should edge this tight encounter despite their recent struggles.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Tenerife (8)Bilbao (2)
Jan 17, 26
(H)Bilbao95 - 78Tenerife(A)
H
Mar 16, 25
(H)Bilbao65 - 75Tenerife(A)
A
Jan 4, 25
(H)Tenerife86 - 75Bilbao(A)
H
Apr 13, 24
(H)Tenerife101 - 84Bilbao(A)
H
Oct 29, 23
(H)Bilbao93 - 94Tenerife(A)
A
Apr 26, 23
(H)Bilbao60 - 83Tenerife(A)
A
Mar 7, 23
(H)Bilbao72 - 74Tenerife(A)
A
Feb 7, 23
(H)Tenerife78 - 66Bilbao(A)
H
Nov 6, 22
(H)Tenerife73 - 57Bilbao(A)
H
Apr 27, 22
(H)Bilbao87 - 79Tenerife(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Tenerife dominates the recent head-to-head record, winning the last meeting 95-78 in January 2026 at Bilbao. Looking at encounters since...

Tenerife dominates the recent head-to-head record, winning the last meeting 95-78 in January 2026 at Bilbao. Looking at encounters since 2025, Tenerife holds a 2-1 advantage, including a commanding 86-75 home victory in January 2025. The scoring patterns show Tenerife typically performs better in this matchup, averaging 87 points across recent meetings compared to Bilbao's 76. Tenerife has covered the spread in both recent encounters, suggesting they handle Bilbao's style effectively.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Tenerife

10 of 15 in ACB

W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

4/10

Tenerife Form Analysis

Trending

Tenerife's recent form raises concerns despite their playoff position. They've won just one of their...

Tenerife's recent form raises concerns despite their playoff position. They've won just one of their last five ACB games, with that lone victory coming against bottom-placed Granada (109-96). Their European campaign has been demanding, suffering losses to Unicaja and Rytas in Champions League action. The team averages 89.6 points per game but has struggled defensively, conceding 86.5 points. Key absences include Aaron Doornekamp and Rokas Giedraitis, while veteran Marcelo Huertas remains questionable. Their home record of 10-6 provides some comfort, but recent performances suggest fatigue from dual competition commitments.

Bilbao

10 of 15 in ACB

L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

6/10

Bilbao Form Analysis

Analysis

Bilbao shows mixed form but benefits from extended rest after 12 days without competition. Their...

Bilbao shows mixed form but benefits from extended rest after 12 days without competition. Their recent ACB results include impressive home wins over Real Madrid (88-82) and Granada (88-83), demonstrating they can compete with quality opposition. However, their away record tells a different story with just 5 wins in 16 road games, averaging only 83.3 points while conceding 92.0 points per game away from home. The extended break could help them reset mentally and physically. Stefan Lazarevic's questionable status adds uncertainty, but the rest advantage over Tenerife's more congested schedule could prove decisive in this tight playoff race.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Tenerife18-1554.5%
Bilbao17-1553.1%
Avg Points Scored
Tenerife89.6
Bilbao84.7
Avg Points Allowed
Tenerife86.5
Bilbao86.3

shieldTenerife5

  • Giedraitis Rokas

    Injured
  • Shermadini Giorgi

    Questionable
  • Huertas Marcelo

    Questionable
  • Doornekamp Aaron

    Injured
  • J. Sastre

    Questionable
Giedraitis Rokas
Shermadini Giorgi
Huertas Marcelo
Doornekamp Aaron
J. Sastre

shieldBilbao2

  • Lazarevic Stefan

    Questionable
  • B. Errasti

    Injured
Lazarevic Stefan
B. Errasti

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Tenerife+3.1
Bilbao-1.6

Tenerife vs Bilbao - Match Analysis

Should I back Tenerife to cover the spread against Bilbao?

Yes, Tenerife offers strong spread value based on their head-to-head dominance and Bilbao's terrible away record. Tenerife has won recent meetings by 17 and 11 points, while Bilbao manages just 5 wins in 16 road games this season. Despite recent struggles, Tenerife's superior goal difference and historical advantage in this fixture make them the safer spread bet.

Will this game go over the total points line?

The Over looks promising with both teams averaging 85+ points per game and defensive vulnerabilities on display. Tenerife scores 89.6 PPG while Bilbao allows 92.0 PPG on the road. Recent meetings have been relatively high-scoring, and both teams need wins desperately for playoff positioning, which should create an open, attacking game style favoring the Over.

How does Bilbao's 12-day rest affect this matchup?

While Bilbao's extended rest provides physical advantages over Tenerife's 5-day break, it may not overcome their fundamental away struggles. The rest could help with energy levels and reduce fatigue, but Bilbao's 5-11 road record suggests systemic issues beyond tiredness. Tenerife's recent game rhythm, despite some poor results, might actually benefit them in maintaining competitive sharpness for this crucial playoff-race encounter.

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