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Tenerife
Tenerife7th in ACB (15-9)
VS
Basquet Girona
Basquet Girona10th in ACB (11-13)

Tenerife vs Basquet Girona

Saturday, Apr 11, 2026 · --:--

Tenerife Arena

Final
Tenerife
97–94
Basquet Girona

Tenerife won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Our Tenerife vs Basquet Girona prediction centers on a compelling matchup between two teams in contrasting form. Tenerife sits 7th in the ACB standings with 15 wins from 24 games, showcasing excellent home form with 9 wins in 12 matches at Tenerife Arena. The hosts average 89.2 points at home while conceding just 81.1, creating a significant +8.1 home differential. Basquet Girona occupies 10th position with an 11-13 record, struggling particularly on the road with only 4 wins in 11 away games and a concerning -9.4 road differential (85.6 scored, 95.0 conceded). Both teams enjoy excellent rest situations with 9+ days since their last games, eliminating fatigue concerns. Tenerife has dominated this head-to-head matchup, winning all recent encounters including a 96-89 victory in December. The combined goals per game average of 7.27 suggests a moderate-scoring affair. Our NBA picks favor Tenerife's superior home form and historical dominance in this fixture. Expert picks point to value in backing the hosts to cover the spread given their consistent home performances and Girona's road struggles.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Tenerife15-962.5%
Basquet Girona11-1345.8%
Avg Points Scored
Tenerife87.9
Basquet Girona86.7
Avg Points Allowed
Tenerife82.9
Basquet Girona89.8
Point Differential
Tenerife+5.0
Basquet Girona-3.1

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Tenerife vs Basquet Girona - Match Analysis

Should I take Tenerife to cover the -8.5 spread?

Yes, Tenerife presents excellent spread value at -8.5. Their perfect head-to-head record against Girona, combined with a dominant +8.1 home differential versus Girona's -9.4 road differential, creates a 17.5-point swing favoring the hosts. Recent home victories by 23 and 18 points demonstrate their ability to cover larger spreads against similar opposition.

Will this game go over or under 175.5 points?

The Under 175.5 offers strong value in this matchup. Tenerife's home defensive rating of 81.1 points allowed, combined with Girona's road offensive struggles (85.6 PPG away), suggests a lower-scoring affair. Recent head-to-head meetings have averaged around 170 points, and both teams' defensive improvements point toward the Under hitting comfortably.

How does the rest advantage affect this matchup?

Both teams enjoy excellent rest situations with 9+ days since their last games, neutralizing any fatigue concerns. This levels the playing field physically, making form and venue factors more decisive. Tenerife benefits more from extended rest as it allows their home crowd advantage to maximize impact, while Girona's road struggles persist regardless of rest days.

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Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Tenerife (7)Basquet Girona (0)
Dec 20, 25
(H)Basquet Girona89 - 96Tenerife(A)
A
May 4, 25
(H)Basquet Girona84 - 93Tenerife(A)
A
Jan 18, 25
(H)Tenerife100 - 80Basquet Girona(A)
H
Apr 7, 24
(H)Tenerife74 - 60Basquet Girona(A)
H
Oct 14, 23
(H)Basquet Girona66 - 79Tenerife(A)
A
May 6, 23
(H)Basquet Girona72 - 88Tenerife(A)
A
Oct 1, 22
(H)Tenerife76 - 67Basquet Girona(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Tenerife holds complete dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, winning all encounters since 2022. The most recent clash in December saw...

Tenerife holds complete dominance in recent head-to-head meetings, winning all encounters since 2022. The most recent clash in December saw Tenerife prevail 96-89 at Girona's home court, demonstrating their ability to win both home and away. Previous meetings show Tenerife's consistent superiority with victories by margins ranging from 7-20 points. Girona has struggled to find answers against Tenerife's tactical approach, particularly in defensive transitions. This psychological edge adds significant value to Tenerife's prospects.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Tenerife

8 of 15 in ACB

W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Tenerife Form Analysis

Trending

Tenerife enters this fixture in solid form, sitting 7th in the ACB table with a...

Tenerife enters this fixture in solid form, sitting 7th in the ACB table with a respectable 15-9 record. Their home fortress at Tenerife Arena has been particularly impressive, posting a 9-3 home record with an outstanding +8.1 point differential. The team averages 89.2 points per game at home while limiting opponents to 81.1, showcasing both offensive efficiency and defensive solidity. Recent performances include dominant home victories over Zaragoza (99-76) and Valencia (89-71), demonstrating their ability to control games against quality opposition. With 9 days of rest since their last Champions League fixture, the squad will be fresh and well-prepared. Their European campaign continues to provide valuable experience while maintaining domestic focus.

Basquet Girona

15 of 15 in ACB

L
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Basquet Girona Form Analysis

Analysis

Basquet Girona finds themselves in 10th position with an 11-13 record, highlighting their inconsistent campaign....

Basquet Girona finds themselves in 10th position with an 11-13 record, highlighting their inconsistent campaign. Away form presents significant concerns with just 4 wins in 11 road games and a troubling -9.4 point differential on their travels. The team scores 85.6 points per game away from home while conceding 95.0, indicating both offensive struggles and defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Recent away performances include losses to Baskonia (81-94) and Unicaja (83-90), continuing their pattern of road difficulties. Despite 13 days of rest providing physical freshness, their away record suggests mental fragility in hostile environments. Home form offers some encouragement with 7 wins in 13 games, but translating that comfort to road venues remains problematic.

shieldTenerife5

  • Van Beck Wesley

    Injured
  • Giedraitis Rokas

    Questionable
  • Kostadinov Konstantin

    Injured
  • Costa Martinez Lluis

    Injured
  • M. Sangare

    Injured
Van Beck Wesley
Giedraitis Rokas
Kostadinov Konstantin
Costa Martinez Lluis
M. Sangare

shieldBasquet Girona3

  • Hollanders Sander

    Injured
  • Fernandez Juan

    Injured
  • Fjellerup Maximo

    Injured
Hollanders Sander
Fernandez Juan
Fjellerup Maximo

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.