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San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos14th in ACB (9-20)
VS
Unicaja
Unicaja8th in ACB (16-13)

San Pablo Burgos vs Unicaja

Thursday, May 14, 2026 · --:--

San Pablo Burgos Arena

Final
San Pablo Burgos
97–90
Unicaja

San Pablo Burgos won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

San Pablo Burgos host Unicaja in a crucial ACB clash at San Pablo Burgos Arena, with the visitors holding a significant six-place advantage in the standings. Unicaja sit 8th with 16 points and playoff qualification secured, while Burgos languish in 14th with just 9 points from 29 games.

Both teams enter with excellent rest preparation, having enjoyed 11+ days since their last fixtures. This eliminates fatigue as a factor and should produce high-quality basketball from both sides. Burgos have shown flashes of quality recently with wins over Forca Lleida and Manresa, but their home record remains concerning at 6-9.

Unicaja's away form has been inconsistent (6-7 record), but their overall quality and playoff positioning gives them a clear edge. The visitors average marginally fewer points per game (88.1 vs 89.7) but crucially concede significantly less (86.3 vs 93.0), highlighting their superior defensive structure.

The head-to-head record from recent seasons heavily favors Unicaja, who won the December 2025 meeting 99-91 in Malaga. With both teams well-rested and Unicaja needing to maintain playoff momentum, the visitors should cover a modest spread despite playing away from home.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 9 head-to-head matchups

San Pablo Burgos (4)Unicaja (5)
Dec 13, 25
(H)Unicaja99 - 91San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
May 8, 22
(H)San Pablo Burgos89 - 74Unicaja(A)
H
Nov 13, 21
(H)Unicaja89 - 78San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Mar 27, 21
(H)Unicaja93 - 101San Pablo Burgos(A)
A
Jan 3, 21
(H)San Pablo Burgos95 - 83Unicaja(A)
H
Apr 28, 19
(H)Unicaja91 - 70San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Nov 3, 18
(H)San Pablo Burgos88 - 79Unicaja(A)
H
Jan 27, 18
(H)San Pablo Burgos78 - 85Unicaja(A)
A
Oct 5, 17
(H)Unicaja93 - 72San Pablo Burgos(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings strongly favor Unicaja, who dominated the December 2025 encounter 99-91 at home. Looking at the broader historical...

Recent head-to-head meetings strongly favor Unicaja, who dominated the December 2025 encounter 99-91 at home. Looking at the broader historical context, Burgos have struggled against quality opposition like Unicaja, particularly when the visitors bring playoff-level intensity. The scoring patterns suggest high-tempo affairs, with the December meeting producing 190 total points. Unicaja's superior defensive organization has been the key differentiator in recent clashes, limiting Burgos' offensive flow while maintaining their own scoring efficiency.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

San Pablo Burgos

15 of 15 in ACB

W
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L

Form Rating

4/10

San Pablo Burgos Form Analysis

Trending

San Pablo Burgos have endured a disappointing campaign with just 9 wins from 29 games,...

San Pablo Burgos have endured a disappointing campaign with just 9 wins from 29 games, sitting 14th in the ACB standings. Their recent form shows glimpses of improvement with victories over Forca Lleida (99-91) and Manresa (101-94), but these came against similarly struggling opposition. At home, Burgos have managed only 6 wins from 15 games, averaging 91.5 points while conceding 92.0. Their defensive frailties remain evident, particularly against quality opposition like Real Madrid (78-94 loss) and Valencia (74-79 defeat). The 11-day rest period should help them physically, but their fundamental issues persist.

Unicaja

10 of 15 in ACB

L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Unicaja Form Analysis

Analysis

Unicaja occupy 8th place with 16 points and have secured playoff qualification, though their recent...

Unicaja occupy 8th place with 16 points and have secured playoff qualification, though their recent form has been inconsistent. They've managed just 1 win in their last 4 ACB games, including defeats to Gran Canaria (100-101) and Granada (71-83). However, their Champions League commitments may have affected league focus, with positive results against Alba Berlin. Away from home, Unicaja have struggled with a 6-7 record, averaging 82.5 points while conceding 87.4. The 14-day rest advantage should benefit their legs, and they'll be motivated to build momentum heading into the playoff phase. Their defensive discipline remains their strongest asset.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
San Pablo Burgos9-2031.0%
Unicaja16-1355.2%
Avg Points Scored
San Pablo Burgos89.7
Unicaja88.1
Avg Points Allowed
San Pablo Burgos93.0
Unicaja86.3

shieldSan Pablo Burgos

check_circle

No reported injuries

shieldUnicaja3

  • Djedovic Nihad

    Injured
  • A. Rubit

    Questionable
  • K. Tillie

    Questionable
Djedovic Nihad
A. Rubit
K. Tillie

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Moderate

Point Differential
San Pablo Burgos-3.3
Unicaja+1.8

San Pablo Burgos vs Unicaja - Match Analysis

Should I back Unicaja to cover the spread away from home?

Yes, Unicaja offer solid value on the spread despite playing away. Their six-place advantage in the standings reflects genuine quality difference, particularly defensively where they concede 6.7 fewer points per game than Burgos. Recent head-to-head dominance and playoff motivation provide additional confidence. Burgos' poor home record (6-9) limits their venue advantage, making Unicaja attractive spread picks.

Will this game go over or under 178.5 total points?

Lean towards the Under despite both teams being well-rested. Unicaja's defensive discipline (86.3 PPG conceded) should limit Burgos' scoring opportunities, while their own away struggles (82.5 PPG) suggest offensive challenges. Recent meetings have been competitive but not explosive, and Unicaja's playoff preparation mode typically emphasizes defensive structure over high-tempo basketball. The total appears slightly inflated given the matchup dynamics.

How important is the 14-day rest advantage for both teams?

The extended rest benefits both teams equally, eliminating fatigue as a deciding factor and ensuring peak physical condition. This should produce higher-quality basketball with better shooting percentages and defensive intensity. For Unicaja, the rest allows them to focus on playoff preparation without fixture congestion concerns. Burgos can use the break to address defensive issues, but their fundamental problems remain unchanged despite the physical refresh.

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