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San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos16th in ACB (7-20)
VS
Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida13th in ACB (10-18)

San Pablo Burgos vs Forca Lleida

Saturday, May 2, 2026 · --:--

San Pablo Burgos Arena

Final
San Pablo Burgos
99–91
Forca Lleida

San Pablo Burgos won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

San Pablo Burgos vs Forca Lleida prediction sees two struggling ACB sides clash at San Pablo Burgos Arena, with both teams fighting to avoid relegation. The hosts sit 16th with just 7 points from 27 games, while visitors Forca Lleida occupy 13th position with 10 points from 28 matches.

Both teams enter this fixture with significant rest advantages - San Pablo Burgos has enjoyed 14 days off since their last defeat to Breogan, while Forca Lleida has had 8 days to recover from their loss at Unicaja. This extended break should benefit both sides' energy levels and preparation.

Recent form favors neither team convincingly. San Pablo Burgos has managed just 2 wins in their last 10 games but showed resilience with home victories over Baskonia (107-96) and Tenerife (96-88). Forca Lleida has been equally inconsistent, securing notable wins against Barcelona (90-80) and Tenerife (103-101) but struggling on the road.

The key factor here is home court advantage for San Pablo Burgos, who average 90.9 points at home compared to Forca Lleida's poor 81.4 points per game on the road. With both teams desperate for points in the relegation battle, expect a tight, low-scoring affair. Take San Pablo Burgos +2.5 and Under 175.5 points.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
San Pablo Burgos7-2025.9%
Forca Lleida10-1835.7%
Avg Points Scored
San Pablo Burgos89.0
Forca Lleida83.2
Avg Points Allowed
San Pablo Burgos93.0
Forca Lleida89.3
Point Differential
San Pablo Burgos-4.0
Forca Lleida-6.1

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

San Pablo Burgos vs Forca Lleida - Match Analysis

Should I take San Pablo Burgos to cover the +2.5 spread?

Yes, San Pablo Burgos +2.5 offers strong value in this relegation battle. Their home court advantage is significant, averaging 90.9 points at home versus Forca Lleida's poor 81.4 points per game on the road. The 14-day rest period gives them a crucial edge in preparation and energy levels. Recent home wins over playoff contenders Baskonia and Tenerife show they can elevate their game when desperate for points in the relegation fight.

Will this game go over or under 175.5 points?

Take the Under 175.5 points in this low-scoring affair. Both teams struggle offensively, with San Pablo Burgos averaging just 89.0 points per game and Forca Lleida managing 83.2. Their recent head-to-head meeting produced only 145 total points (73-72). The pressure of a relegation six-pointer typically leads to tighter, more defensive games. Both teams' injury concerns and inconsistent offensive form support a lower-scoring outcome.

How important is home court advantage in this matchup?

Home court advantage is crucial for San Pablo Burgos in this relegation battle. They score significantly more at home (90.9 PPG) compared to their away average (86.8), while Forca Lleida struggles on the road with just 81.4 points per game. The 14-day rest period allows the hosts to be fully prepared, and their recent home victories over quality opposition like Baskonia demonstrate they can raise their game when backed by home support in must-win situations.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

San Pablo Burgos (4)Forca Lleida (6)
Jan 24, 26
(H)Forca Lleida73 - 72San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Jun 8, 24
(H)San Pablo Burgos77 - 80Forca Lleida(A)
A
Mar 13, 24
(H)Forca Lleida77 - 72San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Oct 14, 23
(H)San Pablo Burgos79 - 66Forca Lleida(A)
H
May 5, 23
(H)San Pablo Burgos90 - 78Forca Lleida(A)
H
Jan 8, 23
(H)Forca Lleida85 - 79San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Jan 3, 17
(H)Forca Lleida78 - 80San Pablo Burgos(A)
A
Sep 30, 16
(H)San Pablo Burgos81 - 88Forca Lleida(A)
A
Jan 15, 16
(H)Forca Lleida91 - 84San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Oct 16, 15
(H)San Pablo Burgos67 - 43Forca Lleida(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Head-to-head records heavily favor Forca Lleida in recent ACB meetings. Their most recent encounter in January 2026 saw Forca Lleida...

Head-to-head records heavily favor Forca Lleida in recent ACB meetings. Their most recent encounter in January 2026 saw Forca Lleida edge a tight 73-72 home victory over San Pablo Burgos. This continues a pattern from their lower-division meetings, where Forca Lleida has dominated with 6 wins in their last 8 encounters across all competitions. The games have typically been close affairs, with 7 of the last 8 meetings decided by single digits. Both teams struggle offensively, making these matchups typically low-scoring battles that favor the home side.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

San Pablo Burgos

15 of 15 in ACB

L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

4/10

San Pablo Burgos Form Analysis

Trending

San Pablo Burgos enters with a dismal 7-20 record but has shown glimpses of competitiveness...

San Pablo Burgos enters with a dismal 7-20 record but has shown glimpses of competitiveness at home. Their recent 14-day rest period should help address fatigue issues that plagued their earlier performances. Key injuries to J. Taboada, Jackson Jhivvan Jameel, and Lima have depleted their rotation, though Heidegger Max and Nzosa Yannick are questionable and could return. At home, they average 90.9 points compared to just 86.8 on the road, highlighting the importance of familiar surroundings. Recent home wins over playoff contenders Baskonia and Tenerife demonstrate their ability to raise their game when backed by home support in crucial relegation battles.

Forca Lleida

15 of 15 in ACB

L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Forca Lleida Form Analysis

Analysis

Forca Lleida sits three places higher in the table but remains in relegation danger with...

Forca Lleida sits three places higher in the table but remains in relegation danger with a 10-18 record. Their away form is particularly concerning, averaging just 81.4 points per game on the road compared to 85.0 at home. The 8-day rest period since their defeat at Unicaja should help, though they've struggled for consistency throughout the campaign. Goloman Gyorgy remains out with injury, limiting their frontcourt options. Recent road performances have been mixed, with competitive showings against top teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona offset by disappointing losses to fellow strugglers. Their ability to score in bursts makes them dangerous but inconsistent.

shieldSan Pablo Burgos6

  • Nzosa Yannick

    Questionable
  • Jackson Jhivvan Jameel

    Injured
  • Heidegger Max

    Questionable
  • Lima

    Injured
  • J. Taboada

    Injured
Nzosa Yannick
Jackson Jhivvan Jameel
Heidegger Max
Lima
J. Taboada
M. B. Cabanas

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

shieldForca Lleida1

  • Goloman Gyorgy

    Injured
Goloman Gyorgy

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.