Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Real Madrid95%
- Granada5%
Analysis
This point spread analysis reveals a fundamental talent gap that rest advantage cannot bridge. Real Madrid's 15-2 ACB record against Granada's 1-17 mark represents the league's best versus worst scenario. The 11-day rest for Madrid eliminates any fatigue factors while allowing questionable players time to recover. Granada's extensive injury list and defensive struggles averaging 90+ points conceded suggest they cannot compete with Madrid's offensive firepower. Historical head-to-head data shows Madrid winning by an average of 8.7 points, but current form suggests a much larger margin is likely given Granada's deteriorating performances.













