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Manresa
Manresa12th in ACB (11-16)
VS
Valencia
Valencia2nd in ACB (21-7)

Manresa vs Valencia

Sunday, May 3, 2026 · --:--

Manresa Arena

Final
Manresa
104–102
Valencia

Manresa won

✗Our prediction was wrong

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Valencia travels to Manresa Arena for this ACB clash between two teams separated by 10 league positions. The visitors sit 2nd with 21 wins from 28 games, while Manresa languishes in 12th with just 11 victories.

Schedule analysis heavily favors Valencia despite the away trip. The visitors enjoyed 7 days rest since their last ACB match against Real Madrid, while Manresa has been idle for 14 days since beating Bilbao away. Both teams show low fatigue risk, but Valencia's superior roster depth and recent form make them clear favorites.

Valencia arrives in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 games including impressive victories over Panathinaikos (102-84) and Olimpia Milano (102-96) in Euroleague action. Their offensive efficiency of 94.2 PPG significantly outpaces Manresa's 84.4 PPG average. Defensively, Valencia also holds the edge, conceding 82.5 PPG compared to Manresa's 90.7 PPG.

Manresa's home record (7-6) provides some hope, but their recent ACB form shows vulnerability against quality opposition. They've struggled defensively in recent outings, allowing 88+ points in 4 of their last 6 league games. Valencia's superior talent and playoff positioning should prove decisive in this matchup, making them strong favorites to cover a moderate spread.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Strong

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Manresa11-1640.7%
Valencia21-775.0%
Avg Points Scored
Manresa84.4
Valencia94.2
Avg Points Allowed
Manresa90.7
Valencia82.5
Point Differential
Manresa-6.3
Valencia+11.7

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Manresa vs Valencia - Match Analysis

Should I take Valencia to cover the -9.5 spread?

Yes, Valencia offers strong value at -9.5. Their 10-position league advantage, superior statistics (94.2 vs 84.4 PPG), and dominant head-to-head record (4-1 in last 5 meetings, average margin 12+ points) justify confidence. Both teams are well-rested, eliminating schedule factors, while Valencia's playoff-caliber roster should handle Manresa's injury-depleted squad comfortably.

Will this game go over or under 177.5 points?

Take the over 177.5. Valencia averages 94.2 PPG and has scored 90+ in 8 of their last 10 games, while Manresa averages 86.7 PPG at home. Manresa's defensive struggles (90.7 PPG conceded) should allow Valencia to reach their scoring average easily. The combined offensive firepower and Manresa's defensive vulnerabilities point toward a higher-scoring affair than the total suggests.

How does Valencia's rest advantage affect this matchup?

Both teams enter well-rested, with Valencia having 7 days off and Manresa 14 days since their last games. This eliminates fatigue as a factor and actually favors Valencia, as their superior talent and depth can be fully utilized. Well-rested Valencia should be at peak performance against an inconsistent Manresa side that has struggled with defensive intensity even when fresh.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Manresa (3)Valencia (7)
Jan 4, 26
(H)Valencia103 - 76Manresa(A)
H
Jan 25, 25
(H)Valencia112 - 96Manresa(A)
H
Sep 28, 24
(H)Manresa77 - 73Valencia(A)
H
Apr 28, 24
(H)Manresa98 - 96Valencia(A)
H
Oct 22, 23
(H)Valencia84 - 79Manresa(A)
H
May 7, 23
(H)Manresa87 - 82Valencia(A)
H
Jan 15, 23
(H)Valencia103 - 92Manresa(A)
H
Mar 14, 22
(H)Valencia90 - 85Manresa(A)
H
Sep 24, 21
(H)Manresa69 - 89Valencia(A)
A
Mar 7, 21
(H)Valencia112 - 82Manresa(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Valencia dominates the recent head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings since 2024. Their most recent encounter in...

Valencia dominates the recent head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings since 2024. Their most recent encounter in January 2026 saw Valencia cruise to a 103-76 home victory, covering easily. The average margin in Valencia's favor over these 5 games is 12.4 points. Notably, Manresa's only recent success came at home in September 2024 (77-73), suggesting their best chance requires home court advantage and a low-scoring affair.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Manresa

11 of 15 in ACB

W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

4.7/10

Manresa Form Analysis

Trending

Manresa enters with mixed recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 ACB games. Their...

Manresa enters with mixed recent form, winning 2 of their last 5 ACB games. Their 11-16 record reflects inconsistent performances throughout the season. At home, they've managed 7 wins in 13 games, averaging 86.7 PPG while conceding 86.2 PPG. Recent victories over Joventut Badalona (87-77) and Bilbao (84-80) show they can compete against mid-table opposition. However, defensive lapses remain problematic - they've allowed 88+ points in multiple recent outings. Key injuries to several rotation players including Benitez Hugo and Obasohan Retin limit their depth against Valencia's quality roster.

Valencia

7 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
L
L

Form Rating

6.7/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Analysis

Valencia brings outstanding form into this fixture, sitting 2nd in ACB standings with 21 wins...

Valencia brings outstanding form into this fixture, sitting 2nd in ACB standings with 21 wins from 28 games. Their recent run includes impressive victories over top European competition, defeating Panathinaikos 102-84 and Olimpia Milano 102-96 in Euroleague play. Away from home, they've posted 9 wins in 14 games, averaging 90.8 PPG while conceding 84.1 PPG. Their offensive efficiency of 94.2 PPG overall demonstrates consistent scoring ability. With minimal injury concerns and strong squad depth, Valencia appears well-positioned for this road test against struggling opposition.

shieldManresa5

  • Benitez Hugo

    Injured
  • Obasohan Retin

    Injured
  • M. Gaspa

    Injured
  • G. Fernandez

    Injured
  • G. Naspler

    Questionable
Benitez Hugo
Obasohan Retin
M. Gaspa
G. Fernandez
G. Naspler

shieldValencia2

  • Pradilla Jaime

    Questionable
  • O. Moore

    Questionable
Pradilla Jaime
O. Moore

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.