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Manresa
Manresa10th in ACB (16-18)
VS
Real Madrid
Real Madrid1st in ACB (26-8)

Manresa vs Real Madrid

Friday, May 29, 2026 · --:--

Manresa Arena

Final
Manresa
94–87
Real Madrid

Manresa won

Our prediction was wrong
✗

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Manresa faces Real Madrid in what promises to be a challenging encounter for the home side, with the league leaders arriving in dominant form despite recent stumbles. Real Madrid sits atop the ACB standings with 26 wins from 32 games, while Manresa occupies 11th position with a 14-18 record, creating a significant 10-place gap between these sides.

Real Madrid enters this fixture having suffered three consecutive defeats, their worst run of the season, including losses to Joventut Badalona, Bilbao, and Breogan. This uncharacteristic slump has seen them average just 86.7 points across these defeats, well below their season average of 93.4 points per game. However, their overall away record remains impressive at 14-2, demonstrating their ability to perform on the road.

Manresa has shown improved form recently with three wins in their last five outings, including victories over Basket Zaragoza (101-83) and Valencia (104-102). Their home record of 9-7 provides some optimism, though they've struggled defensively, conceding 87.9 points per game at home.

Both teams enjoy excellent rest with 12 days since their last fixtures, eliminating any fatigue concerns. The key factor will be whether Real Madrid can rediscover their scoring touch against a Manresa defense that has been vulnerable throughout the season. Despite Madrid's recent struggles, their superior talent and season-long consistency make them strong favorites to return to winning ways.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Manresa (1)Real Madrid (9)
Oct 26, 25
(H)Real Madrid87 - 75Manresa(A)
H
May 18, 25
(H)Manresa65 - 67Real Madrid(A)
A
Feb 14, 25
(H)Real Madrid92 - 69Manresa(A)
H
Oct 27, 24
(H)Real Madrid86 - 61Manresa(A)
H
Mar 31, 24
(H)Real Madrid72 - 83Manresa(A)
A
Sep 29, 23
(H)Manresa88 - 94Real Madrid(A)
A
Jan 29, 23
(H)Manresa69 - 94Real Madrid(A)
A
Dec 11, 22
(H)Real Madrid103 - 89Manresa(A)
H
May 28, 22
(H)Manresa74 - 83Real Madrid(A)
A
May 25, 22
(H)Real Madrid93 - 76Manresa(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Real Madrid holds a commanding recent head-to-head advantage, winning four of the last five meetings since 2024. Their most recent...

Real Madrid holds a commanding recent head-to-head advantage, winning four of the last five meetings since 2024. Their most recent encounter in October 2025 saw Manresa claim a surprising 87-75 victory at Madrid, while the previous meeting at Manresa in May 2025 was a tight 67-65 Real Madrid win. Historically, Madrid has dominated this fixture with convincing margins, including a 94-69 victory in January 2023 and an 83-72 win in March 2024. The average margin across recent meetings favors Madrid significantly, though Manresa has shown they can compete when at their best.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Manresa

15 of 15 in ACB

W
W
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Manresa Form Analysis

Trending

Manresa enters this fixture with encouraging recent form, collecting three wins from their last five...

Manresa enters this fixture with encouraging recent form, collecting three wins from their last five matches including impressive victories over playoff-chasing Valencia and struggling Basket Zaragoza. Their attacking output has been consistent, averaging 94.4 points across their last five games, with their 101-83 demolition of Zaragoza highlighting their offensive potential. However, defensive concerns persist as they've conceded an average of 88.8 points during this period. Key injuries to Hugo Benitez (9 games missed) and M. Gaspa (8 games missed) have disrupted their rotation, while G. Fernandez and Pauly Paulicap remain questionable. Their home record of 9-7 provides some foundation, though they've been inconsistent against quality opposition throughout the campaign.

Real Madrid

15 of 15 in ACB

L
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

7.3/10

Real Madrid Form Analysis

Analysis

Real Madrid arrives in concerning form having lost their last three fixtures, marking their worst...

Real Madrid arrives in concerning form having lost their last three fixtures, marking their worst sequence of the season. The defeats to Joventut Badalona (81-89), Bilbao (82-88), and Breogan (97-101) have exposed defensive vulnerabilities, with Madrid conceding an average of 92.7 points across these games. Their offensive efficiency has also dipped, managing just 86.7 points per game during this slump compared to their season average of 93.4. Despite this poor run, their overall away record remains exceptional at 14-2, demonstrating their usual road resilience. The absence of Edy Tavares (7 games missed) has impacted their interior presence, while Alex Len and Trey Lyles carry questionable tags. The extended rest period should help them regroup and rediscover their championship-caliber form.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Manresa14-1843.8%
Real Madrid26-681.3%
Avg Points Scored
Manresa86.0
Real Madrid93.4
Avg Points Allowed
Manresa91.0
Real Madrid85.1

shieldManresa5

  • Benitez Hugo

    Injured
  • Paulicap Pauly

    Questionable
  • M. Gaspa

    Injured
  • G. Fernandez

    Questionable
  • G. Naspler

    Injured
Benitez Hugo
Paulicap Pauly
M. Gaspa
G. Fernandez
G. Naspler

shieldReal Madrid3

  • Len Alex

    Questionable
  • Lyles Trey

    Questionable
  • Tavares Edy

    Injured
Len Alex
Lyles Trey
Tavares Edy

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Manresa-5.0
Real Madrid+8.3

Manresa vs Real Madrid - Match Analysis

Can Real Madrid end their three-game losing streak against Manresa?

Real Madrid should bounce back strongly from their worst run of the season. Their 14-2 away record demonstrates exceptional road form, while the 10-place league gap reflects superior quality throughout their roster. The extended rest period allows them to regroup mentally and physically. Despite Manresa's recent improvements, Madrid's championship experience and motivation to halt this slide should prove decisive in securing a convincing victory to restore confidence.

Will this game go over the total points line?

The total looks vulnerable to going over based on recent trends from both teams. Madrid has conceded 92.7 points per game during their three-game losing streak, showing defensive fragility. Manresa has averaged 94.4 points in their last five home games, demonstrating improved offensive output. Both teams are well-rested, eliminating fatigue as a scoring inhibitor. The combination of Madrid's defensive struggles and Manresa's home scoring form suggests a high-scoring encounter.

How significant is Real Madrid's recent poor form for this matchup?

While Madrid's three consecutive defeats represent their worst sequence this season, their overall 26-6 record and 81.2% win rate demonstrate this is likely an aberration. Their 14-2 away record shows they typically perform excellently on the road. The quality gap between these teams remains substantial, with Madrid's championship-caliber roster possessing far more talent than mid-table Manresa. Extended rest should help them refocus and return to their dominant form.

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