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Joventut Badalona
Joventut Badalona
VS
San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos

Joventut Badalona vs San Pablo Burgos

Sunday, May 24, 2026 · --:--

Joventut Badalona Arena

Final
Joventut Badalona
86–79
San Pablo Burgos

Joventut Badalona won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Joventut Badalona faces San Pablo Burgos in an ACB clash featuring two teams heading in opposite directions. Badalona enters with an impressive 18-11 record and 62.1% win rate, while Burgos struggles at 10-21 with just a 32.3% win rate this season.

Both teams enjoy excellent rest situations with 9 days since their last games, eliminating any fatigue concerns. Badalona's recent form shows resilience with a dominant 101-79 victory over MoraBanc Andorra in their last outing, though they've been inconsistent with 3 losses in their previous 5 games. Their offensive efficiency at 2.92 points per game gives them a slight edge over Burgos's 2.89.

Burgos arrives with mixed momentum, securing a crucial 97-90 home win against Unicaja but showing their typical inconsistency with just 3 road wins all season. Their defensive struggles are evident, conceding 2.99 points per game compared to Badalona's 2.8.

With both teams dealing with injury concerns - Badalona missing four players including Tomic Ante, while Burgos has five players out or questionable - depth will be crucial. The combined scoring average of 5.81 points per game suggests a moderate-paced affair, but Badalona's superior record and home designation in this neutral-venue format make them clear favorites to cover a modest spread.

Key Factors

Last 9 head-to-head matchups

Joventut Badalona (5)San Pablo Burgos (4)
Jan 11, 26
(H)San Pablo Burgos95 - 98Joventut Badalona(A)
A
Apr 14, 22
(H)San Pablo Burgos92 - 76Joventut Badalona(A)
H
Oct 30, 21
(H)Joventut Badalona82 - 65San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Apr 16, 21
(H)San Pablo Burgos86 - 78Joventut Badalona(A)
H
Dec 27, 20
(H)Joventut Badalona78 - 95San Pablo Burgos(A)
A
Apr 14, 19
(H)Joventut Badalona88 - 85San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Jan 20, 19
(H)San Pablo Burgos65 - 87Joventut Badalona(A)
A
Apr 22, 18
(H)San Pablo Burgos79 - 80Joventut Badalona(A)
A
Dec 23, 17
(H)Joventut Badalona81 - 88San Pablo Burgos(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors the visiting team in this matchup. In their most recent encounter from January 2026, Burgos...

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors the visiting team in this matchup. In their most recent encounter from January 2026, Burgos edged Badalona 98-95 in a high-scoring affair. However, looking at the broader pattern over recent years, these teams have alternated victories with neither establishing clear dominance. The games typically feature competitive scoring with totals ranging from 160-190 points. Badalona holds a slight edge in their venue-specific meetings, but Burgos has shown they can compete regardless of location, making this a potentially tight contest despite the current form disparity.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Joventut Badalona

10 of 15 in ACB

W
L
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

6/10

Joventut Badalona Form Analysis

Trending

Joventut Badalona's 18-11 record reflects a solid but inconsistent campaign. Their recent 101-79 demolition of...

Joventut Badalona's 18-11 record reflects a solid but inconsistent campaign. Their recent 101-79 demolition of MoraBanc Andorra showcased their offensive potential, but they've struggled for consistency with losses to Breogan and AEK Athens in European competition. The team averages 2.92 points per game while allowing 2.8, indicating balanced two-way play. Their venue-specific record shows strength with 12 wins in 15 games, though their road form has been more challenging at 6-8. With 9 days of rest, they should be physically fresh despite dealing with four injury absences including veteran Tomic Ante. The coaching staff will need to manage rotations carefully given the depleted roster.

San Pablo Burgos

15 of 15 in ACB

W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

San Pablo Burgos Form Analysis

Analysis

San Pablo Burgos enters with a disappointing 10-21 record that reflects their struggles throughout the...

San Pablo Burgos enters with a disappointing 10-21 record that reflects their struggles throughout the season. Despite their poor overall record, they showed fight in their last game with a 97-90 victory over Unicaja, suggesting they can still compete when motivated. Their 2.89 points per game average is respectable, but defensive issues persist as they concede 2.99 per contest. Road form has been particularly problematic with just 3 wins in 15 away games, highlighting their difficulty performing away from familiar surroundings. The 9-day rest period should help physically, but they face uncertainty with five players either out or questionable, including key contributors J. Shackelford and Nzosa Yannick whose status remains unclear.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Joventut Badalona18-1162.1%
San Pablo Burgos10-2132.3%
Avg Points Scored
Joventut Badalona84.8
San Pablo Burgos89.5
Avg Points Allowed
Joventut Badalona81.1
San Pablo Burgos92.8

shieldJoventut Badalona4

  • Tomic Ante

    Injured
  • F. Mauri

    Injured
  • D. Niebla

    Injured
  • R. Humberto

    Injured
Tomic Ante
F. Mauri
D. Niebla
R. Humberto

shieldSan Pablo Burgos5

  • Nzosa Yannick

    Questionable
  • Lima

    Injured
  • J. Shackelford

    Questionable
  • J. Taboada

    Injured
  • M. B. Cabanas

    Injured
Nzosa Yannick
Lima
J. Shackelford
J. Taboada
M. B. Cabanas

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Joventut Badalona+3.7
San Pablo Burgos-3.3

Joventut Badalona vs San Pablo Burgos - Match Analysis

Should I take Joventut Badalona to cover the spread?

Yes, Badalona presents strong value to cover. Their 18-11 record significantly outclasses Burgos's 10-21 mark, and their defensive advantage (2.8 vs 2.99 points allowed per game) should control the pace. Burgos's terrible 3-12 road record this season indicates they struggle away from home comforts, even in neutral settings. With both teams equally rested, the quality gap should determine the outcome.

Will this game go over or under 180 points?

Lean slightly under the projected total. While both teams average solid offensive numbers (2.92 and 2.89 points per game respectively), the injury situations affecting both rosters could limit offensive flow. Badalona's defensive edge and both teams' recent inconsistency suggest a more controlled, lower-scoring affair. The 5.81 combined average indicates moderate pace, but defensive intensity often increases in meaningful late-season games.

How do the injury situations affect this matchup?

Both teams face significant absences, but Badalona appears better equipped to handle theirs. While they miss four players including veteran Tomic Ante, their 18-11 record suggests better depth. Burgos's five injury concerns, including questionable statuses for J. Shackelford and Nzosa Yannick, create more uncertainty for a team already struggling at 10-21. The well-rested nature of both squads helps, but roster depth favors Badalona.

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