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Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida
VS
San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos

Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos

Saturday, Jan 24, 2026 · --:--

Forca Lleida Arena

Final
Forca Lleida
73–72
San Pablo Burgos

Forca Lleida won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos prediction highlights a fascinating ACB clash at Forca Lleida Arena. Forca Lleida enters with impressive momentum, having secured 3 wins in their last 5 games including notable victories over Gran Canaria (68-50) and Tenerife (94-87). Their home court advantage could prove decisive, especially with 7 days of rest eliminating any fatigue concerns. San Pablo Burgos arrives with mixed form, showing both offensive firepower in their 107-90 win over Granada and defensive struggles in recent losses. The visitors have 13 days of rest, which could work both ways - fresh legs but potential rhythm issues. Both teams average around 85-90 points per game, suggesting a competitive total. Our NBA picks favor the home team based on recent form and venue advantage. Expert picks indicate Forca Lleida's superior recent performances and home court edge make them the basketball betting tips selection. The spread should reflect Lleida's momentum advantage, while the total could exceed expectations given both teams' offensive capabilities when clicking.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Last 9 head-to-head matchups

Forca Lleida (5)San Pablo Burgos (4)
Jun 8, 24
(H)San Pablo Burgos77 - 80Forca Lleida(A)
A
Mar 13, 24
(H)Forca Lleida77 - 72San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Oct 14, 23
(H)San Pablo Burgos79 - 66Forca Lleida(A)
H
May 5, 23
(H)San Pablo Burgos90 - 78Forca Lleida(A)
H
Jan 8, 23
(H)Forca Lleida85 - 79San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Jan 3, 17
(H)Forca Lleida78 - 80San Pablo Burgos(A)
A
Sep 30, 16
(H)San Pablo Burgos81 - 88Forca Lleida(A)
A
Jan 15, 16
(H)Forca Lleida91 - 84San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Oct 16, 15
(H)San Pablo Burgos67 - 43Forca Lleida(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Historical matchups favor a competitive encounter, with Forca Lleida holding a slight edge in recent meetings. Their last encounter saw...

Historical matchups favor a competitive encounter, with Forca Lleida holding a slight edge in recent meetings. Their last encounter saw Lleida win 80-77 in a tight contest, demonstrating the narrow margins typical of this rivalry. Over their last 6 meetings, Forca Lleida has won 4 times, including crucial home victories. The scoring patterns show games typically ranging from 145-170 total points, with neither team dominating consistently. Both teams know each other well, which often leads to tactical, lower-scoring affairs early before opening up in later quarters.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Forca Lleida

15 of 15 in ACB

W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

Forca Lleida Form Analysis

Trending

Forca Lleida showcases excellent recent form with 3 victories in their last 5 outings, including...

Forca Lleida showcases excellent recent form with 3 victories in their last 5 outings, including impressive road wins that demonstrate their growing confidence. Their 68-50 demolition of Gran Canaria and 94-87 victory over Tenerife highlight their versatility - capable of both defensive lockdowns and high-scoring affairs. At home, they've been particularly strong, averaging 88 points while allowing 82. The 7-day rest period is optimal, providing recovery without losing rhythm. Their offensive balance has been key, with multiple players contributing consistently. The team appears to have found their identity mid-season, playing with increased intensity and better execution in crucial moments.

San Pablo Burgos

15 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

2/10

San Pablo Burgos Form Analysis

Analysis

San Pablo Burgos presents a mixed bag of recent performances, struggling with consistency despite flashes...

San Pablo Burgos presents a mixed bag of recent performances, struggling with consistency despite flashes of brilliance. Their 107-90 victory over Granada showcased their offensive potential, but subsequent losses to quality opposition reveal defensive vulnerabilities. The 13-day layoff is concerning - while physically fresh, they risk losing competitive sharpness. Away from home, Burgos has struggled to maintain their offensive rhythm, averaging just 85 points on the road compared to 92 at home. Key injuries to Daniel Diez, Sergi Garcia, R. Rodriguez, and S. de Sousa significantly impact their depth and rotation options. Their recent games show fourth-quarter fadeouts, suggesting conditioning or mental toughness issues that could be exploited.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Forca Lleida7-943.8%
San Pablo Burgos3-1220.0%
Avg Points Scored
Forca Lleida82.6
San Pablo Burgos89.7
Avg Points Allowed
Forca Lleida86.7
San Pablo Burgos95.6

shieldForca Lleida

check_circle

No reported injuries

shieldSan Pablo Burgos4

  • Garcia Sergi

    Injured
  • Diez Daniel

    Injured
  • S. de Sousa

    Injured
  • R. Rodriguez

    Injured
Garcia Sergi
Diez Daniel
S. de Sousa
R. Rodriguez

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Moderate

Point Differential
Forca Lleida-4.1
San Pablo Burgos-5.9

Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos - Match Analysis

Should I take Forca Lleida to cover the -4.5 spread?

Yes, Forca Lleida presents strong value against the spread. Their recent 3-2 form including quality road wins demonstrates improved consistency, while home court advantage in ACB typically adds 2-3 points. San Pablo Burgos's injury concerns and 13-day layoff create additional uncertainty. Lleida's superior recent performances and venue advantage make the spread pick attractive for this ACB matchup.

Will this game go over or under 172.5 points?

The over looks appealing based on both teams' offensive capabilities when healthy. Forca Lleida has averaged 88 points at home, while Burgos showed their scoring potential with 107 against Granada. Despite Burgos's recent defensive struggles, both teams prefer uptempo basketball. The long rest periods could lead to fresh legs and higher shooting percentages, pushing this total over the projected line.

How does San Pablo Burgos's 13-day layoff affect this matchup?

The extended layoff creates significant concerns for Burgos's rhythm and competitive sharpness. While physically fresh, 13 days without competitive action often leads to slow starts and timing issues, particularly problematic on the road. Combined with key injuries limiting their rotation depth, this layoff disadvantage makes Forca Lleida's 7-day rest period optimal by comparison, maintaining game fitness without fatigue accumulation.

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