Prediction Model Formula
- Form Weight: 35%
- H2H Factor: 20%
- xG Analysis: 25%
- Venue Boost: 20%
AI vs Market Probabilities
- Forca Lleida68%
- Manresa32%
Analysis
The point spread analysis favors Forca Lleida based on several key factors. The rest advantage is neutral with both teams well-rested, eliminating fatigue as a variable. Home court advantage in ACB basketball typically provides 2-3 points, which becomes more significant given the teams' similar quality levels. Manresa's extensive injury list creates a substantial disadvantage, forcing them to rely heavily on a shortened rotation. Forca Lleida's recent form trajectory appears stronger, and their ability to win the previous head-to-head meeting by 13 points at home provides additional confidence in their spread covering ability.














