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Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida13th in ACB (10-19)
VS
Gran Canaria
Gran Canaria15th in ACB (9-21)

Forca Lleida vs Gran Canaria

Sunday, May 17, 2026 · --:--

Forca Lleida Arena

Final
Forca Lleida
75–72
Gran Canaria

Forca Lleida won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Forca Lleida host Gran Canaria at Forca Lleida Arena in a crucial ACB relegation battle, with both teams fighting to avoid the drop. The hosts sit 13th with 10 points while Gran Canaria occupy 15th with just 9 points, making this a six-pointer in the relegation fight.

Both teams enter with excellent rest advantages - Forca Lleida have had 7 days off since their impressive 90-81 home win over Bilbao, while Gran Canaria have enjoyed 13 days of rest following their heavy 69-91 defeat at Barcelona. The extended break should benefit both squads physically, but Gran Canaria's longer layoff could impact their rhythm.

Forca Lleida have shown better home form this season, winning 6 of 14 at their own venue compared to Gran Canaria's poor 4-11 home record. The hosts also boast a superior scoring average (83.5 vs 81.0 points per game) and slightly better defensive numbers. Recent head-to-head history favors the current home team, with Forca Lleida winning a dominant 68-50 victory in January.

With both teams desperate for points and well-rested, expect a competitive encounter. Forca Lleida's home advantage and recent H2H dominance make them slight favorites to cover a small spread in what should be a moderate-scoring affair around 170 total points.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Last 3 head-to-head matchups

Forca Lleida (2)Gran Canaria (1)
Jan 17, 26
(H)Gran Canaria50 - 68Forca Lleida(A)
A
May 14, 25
(H)Gran Canaria94 - 90Forca Lleida(A)
H
Jan 19, 25
(H)Forca Lleida88 - 78Gran Canaria(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings heavily favor Forca Lleida, who dominated the January encounter with a commanding 68-50 victory at Gran Canaria. That...

Recent meetings heavily favor Forca Lleida, who dominated the January encounter with a commanding 68-50 victory at Gran Canaria. That result marked a significant turnaround from their previous meetings, where Gran Canaria had held the edge. The low-scoring nature of their recent clash (118 total points) suggests both teams struggle offensively against each other. Forca Lleida's ability to limit Gran Canaria to just 50 points in their last meeting demonstrates their defensive capabilities in this specific matchup.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Forca Lleida

15 of 15 in ACB

W
L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Forca Lleida Form Analysis

Trending

Forca Lleida enter on a positive note after their convincing 90-81 home victory over Bilbao,...

Forca Lleida enter on a positive note after their convincing 90-81 home victory over Bilbao, showcasing their ability to perform when the pressure is on. The 7-day rest period has allowed them to recover fully while maintaining match sharpness. Their home record of 6-8 isn't spectacular but represents their best chance of collecting points, averaging 85.0 points per game at Forca Lleida Arena. Recent form shows 3 wins in their last 10 games, with notable victories coming against quality opposition including Barcelona (90-80) and Tenerife (103-101). John Shurna remains questionable but his potential absence shouldn't significantly impact their game plan.

Gran Canaria

12 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W

Form Rating

2.7/10

Gran Canaria Form Analysis

Analysis

Gran Canaria arrive in poor form following a heavy 69-91 defeat at Barcelona, their fourth...

Gran Canaria arrive in poor form following a heavy 69-91 defeat at Barcelona, their fourth loss in five games. The 13-day break has been a double-edged sword - while providing physical recovery, it may have disrupted any momentum from their earlier wins over Unicaja (101-100) and Basquet Girona (100-90). Their away record of 5-10 is actually superior to their home form, averaging 81.5 points on the road. Key concerns include the questionable status of Andrew Albicy and K. Kuath, while Louis Labeyrie remains sidelined after missing 9 games. The extended layoff could impact their offensive rhythm in a crucial relegation clash.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Forca Lleida10-1934.5%
Gran Canaria9-2130.0%
Avg Points Scored
Forca Lleida83.5
Gran Canaria81.0
Avg Points Allowed
Forca Lleida89.6
Gran Canaria86.1

shieldForca Lleida1

  • Shurna John

    Questionable
Shurna John

shieldGran Canaria3

  • Labeyrie Louis

    Injured
  • Albicy Andrew

    Questionable
  • K. Kuath

    Questionable
Labeyrie Louis
Albicy Andrew
K. Kuath

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

Moderate

Point Differential
Forca Lleida-6.1
Gran Canaria-5.1

Forca Lleida vs Gran Canaria - Match Analysis

Should I back Forca Lleida to cover the spread at home?

Yes, Forca Lleida present strong value to cover a small home spread. Their dominant 68-50 victory over Gran Canaria in January demonstrates their ability to control this matchup. Home court advantage is crucial in relegation battles, and their superior league position (13th vs 15th) plus better scoring average support the pick. Gran Canaria's 13-day layoff could impact their match sharpness, giving the hosts an early advantage to build upon.

Will this game go over or under 170 total points?

The Under 170 total points offers excellent value based on recent evidence. These teams combined for just 118 points in their January meeting, well below their seasonal averages. Relegation battles often feature tighter, more defensive-minded basketball as teams prioritize avoiding costly mistakes. Both squads have shown defensive capabilities this season, and the pressure-filled nature of this six-pointer should keep scoring moderate. Target Under markets around 168-172 points.

How does Gran Canaria's 13-day rest affect this matchup?

Gran Canaria's extended 13-day break presents a double-edged scenario. While they'll be physically fresh, the lengthy layoff could disrupt offensive rhythm and match sharpness - crucial factors in a high-pressure relegation battle. Their last outing was a heavy 69-91 defeat at Barcelona, meaning they haven't played competitive basketball with positive momentum for weeks. This favors Forca Lleida, who have maintained better rhythm with their 7-day break following a confidence-boosting home victory.

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