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Breogan
Breogan11th in ACB (12-17)
VS
Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida13th in ACB (10-19)

Breogan vs Forca Lleida

Wednesday, May 13, 2026 · --:--

Breogan Arena

Final
Breogan
114–87
Forca Lleida

Breogan won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Breogan host struggling Forca Lleida at Breogan Arena in a crucial ACB clash between two teams fighting to avoid the bottom of the table. Both sides enter with identical 10-day rest periods, eliminating any fatigue advantage in this mid-table battle.

Breogan sit 11th with 12 points from 29 games, two places and two points ahead of 13th-placed Forca Lleida. The hosts have shown slightly better offensive output this season, averaging 89.9 points per game compared to Lleida's 83.5, though both teams struggle defensively. Breogan's recent form includes two wins in their last five games, including victories over Joventut Badalona and San Pablo Burgos.

Forca Lleida arrive in poor away form, managing just four wins in 15 road games this season while averaging 82.1 points per game on their travels. Their recent 91-99 loss to San Pablo Burgos highlighted ongoing defensive issues, conceding 90+ points in 11 of their last 15 away fixtures.

With Russell DeWayne out for Breogan and Goloman Gyorgy sidelined for Lleida, both teams face key absences. However, Breogan's home advantage and superior league position make them favorites. The hosts should capitalize on Lleida's poor road record to secure a vital three points in their fight for mid-table respectability. Take Breogan -4.5 and expect a total around 180 points given both teams' defensive struggles.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Breogan (5)Forca Lleida (5)
Oct 4, 25
(H)Forca Lleida87 - 68Breogan(A)
H
Apr 5, 25
(H)Forca Lleida94 - 81Breogan(A)
H
Oct 27, 24
(H)Breogan77 - 81Forca Lleida(A)
A
Jan 3, 20
(H)Forca Lleida61 - 64Breogan(A)
A
Jan 28, 18
(H)Breogan81 - 49Forca Lleida(A)
H
Oct 15, 17
(H)Forca Lleida73 - 86Breogan(A)
A
Feb 4, 17
(H)Breogan78 - 81Forca Lleida(A)
A
Oct 21, 16
(H)Forca Lleida88 - 77Breogan(A)
H
Jan 6, 16
(H)Forca Lleida72 - 79Breogan(A)
A
Oct 2, 15
(H)Breogan76 - 74Forca Lleida(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor Forca Lleida, who have won both ACB encounters since 2024. Lleida claimed an impressive 87-68...

Recent head-to-head meetings heavily favor Forca Lleida, who have won both ACB encounters since 2024. Lleida claimed an impressive 87-68 victory at home in October 2025, followed by a 94-81 win in April 2025. However, these results came when both teams were in different form cycles. Breogan will be motivated to reverse this trend on home court, where they traditionally perform better against Lleida. The historical pattern shows competitive games with moderate scoring, though Lleida's recent dominance gives them psychological confidence entering this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Breogan

15 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

4/10

Breogan Form Analysis

Trending

Breogan have managed 12 wins from 29 games this season, showing inconsistent form throughout the...

Breogan have managed 12 wins from 29 games this season, showing inconsistent form throughout the campaign. Their recent run includes two wins in five games, with notable victories over Joventut Badalona (93-86) and San Pablo Burgos (99-94). However, heavy defeats to Baskonia (84-112) and Valencia (88-105) highlight their struggles against quality opposition. At home, they've won six of 14 games while averaging 93.1 points per game. The absence of Russell DeWayne for three games has impacted their rotation depth. With 10 days' rest, they should be physically fresh for this crucial encounter against a team below them in the standings.

Forca Lleida

15 of 15 in ACB

L
L
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Forca Lleida Form Analysis

Analysis

Forca Lleida have endured a difficult season with just 10 wins from 29 games, sitting...

Forca Lleida have endured a difficult season with just 10 wins from 29 games, sitting precariously in 13th position. Their away record is particularly concerning, managing only four wins in 15 road games while averaging 82.1 points per game. Recent form shows one win in their last five games, including disappointing losses to San Pablo Burgos (91-99) and Unicaja (72-91). Their lone bright spot was a home victory over Barcelona (90-80), demonstrating they can compete when conditions favor them. Key injuries to Goloman Gyorgy (five games missed) and questionable status for Rodriguez Adria and Shurna John create additional challenges for their already limited rotation depth.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Breogan12-1741.4%
Forca Lleida10-1934.5%
Avg Points Scored
Breogan89.9
Forca Lleida83.5
Avg Points Allowed
Breogan93.6
Forca Lleida89.6

shieldBreogan1

  • Russell DeWayne

    Injured
Russell DeWayne

shieldForca Lleida3

  • Rodriguez Adria

    Questionable
  • Goloman Gyorgy

    Injured
  • Shurna John

    Questionable
Rodriguez Adria
Goloman Gyorgy
Shurna John

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Moderate

Point Differential
Breogan-3.7
Forca Lleida-6.1

Breogan vs Forca Lleida - Match Analysis

Should I take Breogan to cover the -4.5 spread?

Yes, Breogan -4.5 offers good value in this matchup. The hosts sit two places higher in the table with superior offensive numbers, while Forca Lleida have managed just four wins in 15 away games this season. Breogan's home advantage at their arena, combined with Lleida's poor road defensive record, makes this spread achievable. Both teams have identical rest periods, so fatigue won't be a factor. Breogan's recent home victories over similar-level opposition demonstrate their ability to win by moderate margins when favored.

Will this game go over or under 180 points?

The total should lean toward the over given both teams' defensive struggles throughout the season. Breogan average 93.1 points per game at home while conceding 95.0, indicating high-scoring potential. Forca Lleida's away games average 172.6 total points, with their defensive issues particularly pronounced on the road. Both teams prefer uptempo basketball when possible, and neither has the defensive personnel to consistently limit scoring. The 180-point total appears conservative given these offensive and defensive trends from both sides.

How important is home court advantage in this matchup?

Home court advantage is crucial for Breogan in this fixture, particularly given Forca Lleida's poor away record. Breogan score 6.2 more points per game at home compared to their away average, while Lleida score 2.9 fewer points on the road. The familiar surroundings and crowd support at Breogan Arena provide a significant psychological boost against a team struggling with confidence. Lleida's 4-11 away record demonstrates their inability to perform consistently on the road, making Breogan's home advantage worth approximately 5-6 points in this specific matchup.

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