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Breogan
Breogan11th in ACB (12-17)
VS
Basquet Girona
Basquet Girona10th in ACB (13-16)

Breogan vs Basquet Girona

Saturday, May 16, 2026 · --:--

Breogan Arena

Final
Breogan
95–76
Basquet Girona

Breogan won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Breogan host Basquet Girona at Breogan Arena in a crucial ACB clash between two mid-table teams separated by just one point in the standings. Both sides enter with identical 13-day rest periods, eliminating any fatigue advantages in this evenly-matched encounter.

Breogan (11th, 12 points) have shown resilience at home this season, winning 6 of 14 games at their own venue while averaging 93.1 points per game. Their recent form includes back-to-back wins against Joventut Badalona and San Pablo Burgos, demonstrating their ability to compete against similar-level opposition. However, Russell DeWayne's absence continues to impact their rotation depth.

Basquet Girona (10th, 13 points) arrive in slightly better league position but with concerning away form, managing just 5 wins in 14 road games while conceding 94.7 points per contest. Their injury list is extensive, with key players E. Sanmartin, Fjellerup Maximo, and Maric Nikola all ruled out, while Ferrando Guillem and K. Brunot remain questionable.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Breogan, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings including both recent home encounters. With both teams averaging around 90 points per game and Girona's defensive struggles on the road, expect a competitive but high-scoring affair. Take Breogan -2.5 and Over 182.5 points.

Key Factors

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Breogan (4)Basquet Girona (3)
Dec 6, 25
(H)Basquet Girona103 - 80Breogan(A)
H
Apr 12, 25
(H)Basquet Girona91 - 85Breogan(A)
H
Dec 21, 24
(H)Breogan77 - 74Basquet Girona(A)
H
Jan 21, 24
(H)Breogan93 - 75Basquet Girona(A)
H
Nov 18, 23
(H)Basquet Girona87 - 83Breogan(A)
H
Feb 5, 23
(H)Breogan92 - 70Basquet Girona(A)
H
Dec 4, 22
(H)Basquet Girona66 - 73Breogan(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Breogan dominate this recent rivalry, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings since 2023. Most significantly, they've been perfect at...

Breogan dominate this recent rivalry, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings since 2023. Most significantly, they've been perfect at home against Girona, winning 93-75 in January 2024 and 77-74 in December 2024. Girona's only recent success came via a 103-80 home victory in December 2025, but their road struggles against Breogan are evident. The average combined score in recent meetings is 166 points, suggesting moderate-scoring encounters, though Breogan's home advantage has been decisive in determining outcomes.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Breogan

15 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
W
L

Form Rating

4/10

Breogan Form Analysis

Trending

Breogan have found some momentum with 2 wins in their last 4 games, including impressive...

Breogan have found some momentum with 2 wins in their last 4 games, including impressive victories over Joventut Badalona (93-86) and San Pablo Burgos (99-94). Their home record of 6-8 isn't spectacular, but they average a solid 93.1 points per game at Breogan Arena while conceding 95.0. The 13-day rest period should benefit their veteran-heavy rotation, particularly with Russell DeWayne's continued absence limiting their depth. Recent performances show they can compete effectively against mid-table opposition, scoring 90+ points in 3 of their last 5 home games. Their offensive consistency at home makes them dangerous against defensively vulnerable opponents.

Basquet Girona

15 of 15 in ACB

W
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
L

Form Rating

4.7/10

Basquet Girona Form Analysis

Analysis

Basquet Girona's away form remains problematic, winning just 5 of 14 road games while averaging...

Basquet Girona's away form remains problematic, winning just 5 of 14 road games while averaging 86.9 points and conceding 94.7 per contest. Their recent 90-81 home win over Basket Zaragoza provided some confidence, but road defeats to Gran Canaria (90-100) and Tenerife (94-97) highlight their travel struggles. The extensive injury list significantly impacts their rotation, with E. Sanmartin (5 games missed), Fjellerup Maximo (9 games), and Maric Nikola (3 games) all unavailable. Questionable status for Ferrando Guillem and K. Brunot further complicates their preparation. Despite adequate rest, their depleted squad faces a tough challenge away from home.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Breogan12-1741.4%
Basquet Girona13-1644.8%
Avg Points Scored
Breogan89.9
Basquet Girona87.1
Avg Points Allowed
Breogan93.6
Basquet Girona89.7

shieldBreogan1

  • Russell DeWayne

    Injured
Russell DeWayne

shieldBasquet Girona6

  • Ferrando Guillem

    Questionable

  • Fjellerup Maximo

    Injured

  • Maric Nikola

    Injured

  • E. Sanmartin

    Injured

  • K. Rosembert

    Injured
Ferrando Guillem
Fjellerup Maximo
Maric Nikola
E. Sanmartin
K. Rosembert
K. Brunot

Showing 1-5 of 6 injuries

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Breogan-3.7
Basquet Girona-2.6

Breogan vs Basquet Girona - Match Analysis

Should I take Breogan to cover the -2.5 spread?

Yes, Breogan -2.5 offers strong value. They've won both recent home meetings against Girona and benefit from the visitors' poor away form (5-9 record, 94.7 PPG conceded). Girona's extensive injury list further weakens their chances, while Breogan have shown good home form with 93.1 PPG average. The small spread undervalues Breogan's specific advantages in this matchup despite the close league positions.

Will this game go over or under 182.5 points?

Take the Over 182.5 points. Both teams average around 90 points per game, and Girona's away defensive struggles (94.7 PPG conceded) suggest they'll allow Breogan to score freely at home. Breogan consistently hit 90+ points in recent home games, while Girona possess enough offensive talent to contribute significantly. The injury-depleted visitors may prioritize offense over defense, pushing the total higher than the modest line suggests.

How do Girona's injuries affect this matchup?

Girona's injury crisis significantly impacts their chances. Key players E. Sanmartin, Fjellerup Maximo, and Maric Nikola are all ruled out, while Ferrando Guillem and K. Brunot remain questionable. This depleted rotation limits their defensive options and bench depth, particularly problematic on the road where they already struggle. The injuries force them to rely heavily on their remaining healthy players, potentially leading to fatigue and defensive breakdowns against Breogan's home offense.

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