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Bilbao
Bilbao8th in ACB (17-14)
VS
Basquet Girona
Basquet Girona12th in ACB (13-19)

Bilbao vs Basquet Girona

Sunday, May 24, 2026 · --:--

Bilbao Arena

Final
Bilbao
86–80
Basquet Girona

Bilbao won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Bilbao faces Basquet Girona in an ACB clash between two teams separated by four positions in the standings. Bilbao sits 8th with 17 wins from 31 games, securing a playoff spot, while Girona languishes in 12th with just 13 victories from 32 outings.

Bilbao enters with momentum from their impressive 88-82 victory over league leaders Real Madrid in their last ACB fixture, showcasing their ability to compete with elite opposition. However, their recent form shows inconsistency with losses to Forca Lleida and Barcelona mixed with quality wins. The absence of K. De Castro for three games has impacted their rotation depth.

Girona arrives in poor form, suffering three consecutive defeats including a heavy 95-76 loss to Breogan. Their away record of 5-11 highlights significant struggles on the road, averaging 94.2 points conceded per game away from home. Multiple injury concerns including long-term absences for E. Sanmartin and K. Rosembert, plus Ferrando Guillem's questionable status, further weaken their squad depth.

The head-to-head record since 2024 shows Bilbao holding a 3-1 advantage, including two comfortable home victories. With Bilbao's superior league position, better recent form against top opposition, and Girona's away struggles, the spread favors Bilbao to cover. The total points line appears set around 175, with both teams averaging over 85 points per game suggesting an over play.

Key Factors

Last 7 head-to-head matchups

Bilbao (4)Basquet Girona (3)
Jan 4, 26
(H)Basquet Girona89 - 93Bilbao(A)
A
Mar 2, 25
(H)Bilbao96 - 83Basquet Girona(A)
H
Nov 10, 24
(H)Basquet Girona100 - 94Bilbao(A)
H
Apr 27, 24
(H)Basquet Girona81 - 68Bilbao(A)
H
Dec 22, 23
(H)Bilbao80 - 74Basquet Girona(A)
H
Mar 19, 23
(H)Bilbao84 - 77Basquet Girona(A)
H
Jan 14, 23
(H)Basquet Girona84 - 59Bilbao(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent meetings between these teams favor Bilbao significantly. Since 2024, Bilbao leads the head-to-head record 3-1, with their most recent...

Recent meetings between these teams favor Bilbao significantly. Since 2024, Bilbao leads the head-to-head record 3-1, with their most recent encounter in January 2026 seeing Girona edge a close 93-89 victory. However, Bilbao's previous meetings show dominant performances, including a 96-83 win in March 2025 and a 100-94 victory in November 2024. The average total in their last four meetings has been 175 points, indicating both teams contribute to high-scoring affairs. Bilbao's ability to control games against Girona, particularly when playing with playoff implications, gives them a psychological edge heading into this matchup.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Bilbao

9 of 15 in ACB

W
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Bilbao Form Analysis

Trending

Bilbao's recent form demonstrates their capability to compete at the highest level, evidenced by their...

Bilbao's recent form demonstrates their capability to compete at the highest level, evidenced by their stunning 88-82 victory over Real Madrid. This performance highlighted their offensive efficiency and defensive resilience when fully focused. However, consistency remains an issue with disappointing losses to Forca Lleida (90-81) and a heavy defeat to Barcelona (90-61). Their European commitments in the FIBA Europe Cup have provided valuable experience but may have contributed to squad fatigue. The injury to K. De Castro has disrupted their rotation, though key players like Hilliard Darrun and Hlinason Tryggvi continue to perform. Their 17-14 record reflects a team capable of playoff basketball but lacking the consistency of elite ACB sides.

Basquet Girona

15 of 15 in ACB

L
L
L
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W

Form Rating

3.3/10

Basquet Girona Form Analysis

Analysis

Girona's form heading into this fixture is deeply concerning, with three consecutive defeats highlighting their...

Girona's form heading into this fixture is deeply concerning, with three consecutive defeats highlighting their struggles. The 95-76 loss to Breogan was particularly damaging, showing defensive frailties that have plagued their season. Their away record of 5-11 tells the story of a team unable to perform consistently on the road, conceding an alarming 94.2 points per game away from home. Multiple injury concerns have severely impacted squad depth, with E. Sanmartin and K. Rosembert missing significant time. The questionable status of Ferrando Guillem adds further uncertainty to their rotation. Despite occasional bright spots like their victory over Basket Zaragoza, Girona's 13-19 record reflects a team fighting to avoid relegation battles rather than competing for meaningful positions.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Bilbao17-1454.8%
Basquet Girona13-1940.6%
Avg Points Scored
Bilbao84.8
Basquet Girona86.0
Avg Points Allowed
Bilbao86.3
Basquet Girona89.4

shieldBilbao1

  • K. De Castro

    Injured
K. De Castro

shieldBasquet Girona4

  • Ferrando Guillem

    Questionable
  • E. Sanmartin

    Injured
  • K. Rosembert

    Injured
  • K. Brunot

    Injured
Ferrando Guillem
E. Sanmartin
K. Rosembert
K. Brunot

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Bilbao-1.5
Basquet Girona-3.4

Bilbao vs Basquet Girona - Match Analysis

Should I take Bilbao to cover the spread against Girona?

Yes, Bilbao presents strong value to cover the spread. Their superior league position, 3-1 head-to-head advantage since 2024, and recent victory over Real Madrid demonstrate quality that Girona cannot match. Girona's poor away record (5-11) and multiple injury concerns make them vulnerable to a comfortable defeat. Bilbao's playoff positioning gives them additional motivation to maintain momentum.

Will this game go over the total points line?

The over appears likely given both teams' offensive capabilities and Girona's defensive struggles. Bilbao averages 84.8 points per game while Girona concedes 89.4, particularly vulnerable on the road where they allow 94.2 points. Their recent head-to-head meetings have averaged 175 points, suggesting both teams contribute to high-scoring affairs. Girona's injury-depleted defense should struggle to contain Bilbao's attack.

How do Girona's injuries affect this matchup?

Girona's injury situation significantly impacts their chances, with key players E. Sanmartin and K. Rosembert missing extended periods. Ferrando Guillem's questionable status adds further uncertainty to their rotation depth. These absences have contributed to their poor recent form and defensive struggles, particularly problematic against a Bilbao team that has shown they can score efficiently. The depleted squad lacks the depth needed for competitive away performances.

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