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Basket Zaragoza
Basket Zaragoza17th in ACB (9-24)
VS
Valencia
Valencia3rd in ACB (23-9)

Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia

Wednesday, May 13, 2026 · --:--

Basket Zaragoza Arena

Final
Basket Zaragoza
86–98
Valencia

Valencia won

✓Our prediction was correct

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Basket Zaragoza host Valencia in a crucial ACB clash at Basket Zaragoza Arena, with the visitors desperately needing points to maintain their playoff position. The 14-place gap in the standings tells the story - Valencia sit 2nd with 21 wins from 29 games, while Zaragoza languish in 16th with just 9 victories.

Both teams enter with excellent rest preparation, having 10-11 days since their last fixtures. Valencia's recent form shows concerning losses to Panathinaikos in Euroleague playoffs and a narrow defeat to Manresa, but their overall season metrics remain strong. They average 94.4 points per game while conceding just 83.2, showcasing superior offensive efficiency and defensive structure.

Zaragoza's home record offers little comfort - just 5 wins in 14 home games this season, averaging 89.6 points scored and 89.1 conceded at home. Their injury list includes key players D.J. Stephens and Richardson Josh, with A. Savkov questionable. Valencia have minor concerns with Montero Jean and Pradilla Jaime both questionable.

The head-to-head record heavily favors Valencia, who have won 9 of the last 10 meetings including a dominant 115-73 victory earlier this season. Valencia's superior offensive rating and defensive efficiency, combined with Zaragoza's struggles at home, points to a comfortable away victory. Take Valencia -8.5 and Over 180.5 points.

Key Factors

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Weak

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Basket Zaragoza9-2031.0%
Valencia21-872.4%
Avg Points Scored
Basket Zaragoza87.4
Valencia94.4
Avg Points Allowed
Basket Zaragoza93.0
Valencia83.2
Point Differential
Basket Zaragoza-5.6
Valencia+11.2

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Basket Zaragoza vs Valencia - Match Analysis

Should I take Valencia to cover the -8.5 spread?

Yes, Valencia -8.5 offers strong value. They've won 9 of the last 10 meetings by an average margin exceeding 20 points, including a 42-point victory earlier this season. Their superior offensive efficiency (94.4 vs 87.4 PPG) and defensive structure against Zaragoza's poor home record (5-9) suggests they can cover comfortably. The 14-place standings gap reflects genuine quality difference that this spread doesn't fully capture.

Will this game go over or under 180.5 points?

The Over 180.5 looks appealing based on both teams' scoring patterns. Valencia average 94.4 points per game while Zaragoza concede 93.0, suggesting Valencia alone could approach 95+ points. Zaragoza average 87.4 points at home, and their recent high-scoring victories (107 vs Lleida, 108 vs Burgos) show offensive capability. Recent H2H meetings have been high-scoring, with the January clash totaling 188 points despite being one-sided.

How do the injury concerns affect this matchup?

Zaragoza face more significant injury issues with D.J. Stephens and Richardson Josh both out, removing key rotation players. A. Savkov's questionable status adds further uncertainty to their already thin roster. Valencia's concerns are minor - Montero Jean and Pradilla Jaime are questionable but their deep roster can absorb these potential absences. The injury situation clearly favors Valencia, who have better depth and fewer key players missing.

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Last 10 head-to-head matchups

Basket Zaragoza (1)Valencia (9)
Jan 12, 26
(H)Valencia115 - 73Basket Zaragoza(A)
H
Mar 1, 25
(H)Basket Zaragoza71 - 115Valencia(A)
A
Nov 15, 24
(H)Valencia111 - 82Basket Zaragoza(A)
H
Jan 21, 24
(H)Basket Zaragoza75 - 85Valencia(A)
A
Nov 12, 23
(H)Valencia76 - 69Basket Zaragoza(A)
H
Mar 26, 23
(H)Basket Zaragoza86 - 75Valencia(A)
H
Jan 22, 23
(H)Valencia88 - 76Basket Zaragoza(A)
H
Mar 20, 22
(H)Valencia81 - 79Basket Zaragoza(A)
H
Oct 2, 21
(H)Basket Zaragoza70 - 76Valencia(A)
A
Apr 11, 21
(H)Basket Zaragoza76 - 85Valencia(A)
A

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Valencia dominate this matchup historically, winning 9 of the last 10 encounters including both meetings this season. The most recent...

Valencia dominate this matchup historically, winning 9 of the last 10 encounters including both meetings this season. The most recent clash in January saw Valencia cruise to a 115-73 victory, highlighting the significant quality gap. Zaragoza's lone victory came in March 2023 (86-75), but Valencia have since won five straight meetings by an average margin of 20+ points. The consistent pattern shows Valencia's superior depth and execution in this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Basket Zaragoza

12 of 15 in ACB

L
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
L
L

Form Rating

2.7/10

Basket Zaragoza Form Analysis

Trending

Basket Zaragoza's season has been a struggle, managing just 9 wins from 29 games and...

Basket Zaragoza's season has been a struggle, managing just 9 wins from 29 games and sitting 16th in the table. Their recent form shows 2 wins in their last 10 games, with notable home victories against Forca Lleida (107-91) and San Pablo Burgos (108-98). However, they've lost key games to Barcelona (86-92) and suffered heavy defeats on the road. At home, they average 89.6 points scored but have won only 5 of 14 games. Key injuries to D.J. Stephens and Richardson Josh have weakened their rotation, while A. Savkov remains questionable for this fixture.

Valencia

7 of 15 in ACB

L
L
L
L
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W

Form Rating

6.7/10

Valencia Form Analysis

Analysis

Valencia enter as the league's second-placed team with 21 wins from 29 games, though recent...

Valencia enter as the league's second-placed team with 21 wins from 29 games, though recent form shows some vulnerability. They've lost 3 of their last 5 games, including crucial Euroleague playoff defeats to Panathinaikos and a narrow 104-102 loss to Manresa in ACB play. However, their season metrics remain impressive - averaging 94.4 points per game while conceding just 83.2. On the road, they've managed 9 wins from 15 games, averaging 91.5 points scored. Minor injury concerns surround Montero Jean and Pradilla Jaime, both listed as questionable, but their deep roster should cope effectively.

shieldBasket Zaragoza3

  • Richardson Josh

    Injured
  • D. J. Stephens

    Injured
  • A. Savkov

    Questionable
Richardson Josh
D. J. Stephens
A. Savkov

shieldValencia2

  • Montero Jean

    Questionable
  • Pradilla Jaime

    Questionable
Montero Jean
Pradilla Jaime

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.