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Barcelona
Barcelona4th in ACB (19-9)
VS
San Pablo Burgos
San Pablo Burgos16th in ACB (8-20)

Barcelona vs San Pablo Burgos

Saturday, May 9, 2026 · --:--

Barcelona Arena

Final
Barcelona
91–76
San Pablo Burgos

Barcelona won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

Barcelona host relegation-threatened San Pablo Burgos at Barcelona Arena in a crucial ACB clash with massive implications for both teams. The hosts sit comfortably in 4th place with 19 points, securing a playoff spot, while Burgos languish in 16th with just 8 points, desperately fighting to avoid relegation to Primera FEB.

Both teams enter with identical 13-day rest periods, eliminating any fatigue advantages. Barcelona have shown mixed form recently, winning 3 of their last 5 games including impressive victories over Baskonia (95-92) and Bayern (95-69), though they've struggled in Euroleague competition. Their home record remains strong at 10-4, averaging 92.4 points per game at Barcelona Arena.

San Pablo Burgos arrive in dire straits, having won just 8 of 28 games this season. Their away form is particularly concerning at 3-11, averaging only 87.9 points while conceding 94.1 per game on the road. However, they showed fight in their last outing, defeating Manresa 101-94 away from home.

The 12-place gap in the standings tells the story here. Barcelona's superior talent depth, home advantage, and playoff positioning should prove decisive against a Burgos side missing key players through injury. Expect the hosts to control this game from early, covering the spread comfortably while the total stays under due to Barcelona's defensive focus when leading.

Key Factors

Last 9 head-to-head matchups

Barcelona (9)San Pablo Burgos (0)
Jan 18, 26
(H)San Pablo Burgos79 - 80Barcelona(A)
A
May 1, 22
(H)Barcelona84 - 69San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Nov 21, 21
(H)San Pablo Burgos69 - 83Barcelona(A)
A
Apr 4, 21
(H)San Pablo Burgos77 - 93Barcelona(A)
A
Sep 20, 20
(H)Barcelona89 - 86San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Mar 10, 19
(H)Barcelona97 - 88San Pablo Burgos(A)
H
Jan 6, 19
(H)San Pablo Burgos80 - 85Barcelona(A)
A
Mar 18, 18
(H)San Pablo Burgos101 - 103Barcelona(A)
A
Oct 8, 17
(H)Barcelona111 - 81San Pablo Burgos(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors the home team, though the sample size is limited. In their only meeting this season,...

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors the home team, though the sample size is limited. In their only meeting this season, Barcelona edged a narrow 80-79 victory at Burgos in January, suggesting these teams can produce competitive encounters despite the league table gap. Looking back to 2022, Barcelona dominated 84-69 at home in their last meeting at Barcelona Arena. The pattern shows Barcelona typically winning at home by comfortable margins, while games at Burgos tend to be closer affairs. This home venue advantage for Barcelona should be significant given their strong 10-4 home record this season.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsACB matches highlighted

Barcelona

6 of 15 in ACB

W
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
W
W
L
W

Form Rating

6/10

Barcelona Form Analysis

Trending

Barcelona enter this fixture in solid form despite some Euroleague struggles, having won 3 of...

Barcelona enter this fixture in solid form despite some Euroleague struggles, having won 3 of their last 5 ACB games. Their recent 95-92 victory over playoff rivals Baskonia demonstrated their ability to win tight games, while the commanding 90-61 home victory over Bilbao showcased their dominance at Barcelona Arena. The team has been particularly effective at home, averaging 92.4 points per game with a strong 10-4 record. Key players like Satoransky Tomas and Cale Myles are listed as questionable, but their deep roster should cope. With 13 days of rest, they'll be fresh and motivated to secure another home victory as they prepare for the playoff push.

San Pablo Burgos

15 of 15 in ACB

W
L
L
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
L
L
W

Form Rating

4/10

San Pablo Burgos Form Analysis

Analysis

San Pablo Burgos face a desperate situation sitting in 16th place, just two points above...

San Pablo Burgos face a desperate situation sitting in 16th place, just two points above the relegation zone. Their recent form shows glimpses of fight with a 101-94 victory over Manresa, but overall they've managed just 8 wins in 28 games. Their away record is particularly concerning at 3-11, averaging only 87.9 points while conceding 94.1 per game on the road. The team is dealing with significant injury issues, with J. Taboada, Jackson Jhivvan Jameel, and Lima all ruled out, while Gudmundsson Jon and M. B. Cabanas are questionable. Despite having 13 days of rest, their lack of depth and poor away form makes this a mountain to climb against quality opposition.

Season Overview

2025/2026 Season

Record
Barcelona19-967.9%
San Pablo Burgos8-2028.6%
Avg Points Scored
Barcelona88.7
San Pablo Burgos89.4
Avg Points Allowed
Barcelona81.4
San Pablo Burgos93.1

shieldBarcelona3

  • Cale Myles

    Questionable
  • Satoransky Tomas

    Questionable
  • D. Gonzalez

    Injured
Cale Myles
Satoransky Tomas
D. Gonzalez

shieldSan Pablo Burgos5

  • Jackson Jhivvan Jameel

    Injured
  • Gudmundsson Jon

    Questionable
  • Lima

    Injured
  • J. Taboada

    Injured
  • M. B. Cabanas

    Questionable
Jackson Jhivvan Jameel
Gudmundsson Jon
Lima
J. Taboada
M. B. Cabanas

Availability data is sourced from official team reports and may not reflect real-time updates.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Favorable

Injury Impact

High

Point Differential
Barcelona+7.3
San Pablo Burgos-3.7

Barcelona vs San Pablo Burgos - Match Analysis

Should I take Barcelona to cover the -8.5 spread?

Yes, Barcelona should cover comfortably given their strong home record (10-4) and Burgos' terrible away form (3-11). The 12-place gap in standings reflects genuine quality difference, and Barcelona's depth advantage becomes crucial with both teams dealing with injuries. Their home court at Barcelona Arena has been a fortress this season, and facing relegation-threatened opposition provides extra motivation to secure a convincing victory.

Will this game go over or under 182.5 points?

Under 182.5 offers excellent value in this matchup. Barcelona's defensive focus when leading should keep scoring controlled, while Burgos averages just 87.9 points per game away from home. The hosts' ability to dictate tempo at Barcelona Arena, combined with Burgos' offensive limitations on the road, points toward a lower-scoring affair. Both teams' injury concerns could also disrupt offensive rhythm and flow.

How do the injury concerns affect this matchup?

Injuries favor Barcelona significantly due to their superior roster depth. While Barcelona have questionable players in Satoransky Tomas and Cale Myles, their deep rotation can absorb these absences. Burgos face more serious concerns with multiple players ruled out including J. Taboada and Jackson Jhivvan Jameel, limiting their already thin away rotation. This depth disparity becomes crucial in a game where Burgos desperately need all available talent to compete.

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