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New York Yankees
New York Yankees2nd in MLB (82-62)
VS
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies15th in MLB (55-89)

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies

Wednesday, Sep 9, 2026 · --:--

New York Yankees Arena

Final
New York Yankees
6–1
Colorado Rockies

New York Yankees won

Our prediction was correct
✓

Our Prediction

AI Match Analysis

The New York Yankees head into this interleague matchup against the Colorado Rockies as clear favorites, and the numbers back up that stance. Aaron Judge's activation gives the Yankees lineup an added dimension, bolstering an offense that already ranks among the American League's most potent. Colorado, by contrast, continues to struggle on the road as one of MLB's weakest clubs this season, particularly against quality pitching.

The key driver here is the talent and depth disparity between these two rosters. New York's starting rotation matches up favorably against a Rockies lineup that has been inconsistent at generating runs away from Coors Field. Colorado's starting pitcher matchup further tilts the equation toward the Yankees, who should be able to capitalize on scoring chances early and often.

With Judge back in the fold, New York's offense gets a legitimate boost rather than facing any new complications. There's no indication of rotation trouble, bullpen fatigue, or lineup instability on the Yankees' side, which reinforces the statistical case for a comfortable path to victory at home.

For bettors, the Yankees moneyline remains the most straightforward angle, though those seeking better value might explore run-line or first-five-innings markets given Colorado's tendency to fall behind early. The Rockies could see some action as a live underdog for bullpen game bettors, but the broader trends and matchup context strongly favor New York covering as the true measure of quality in this contest.

Key Factors

Last 10 head-to-head matchups

New York Yankees (6)Colorado Rockies (4)
Sep 8, 26
(H)New York Yankees5 - 3Colorado Rockies(A)
H
May 25, 25
(H)Colorado Rockies4 - 5New York Yankees(A)
A
May 24, 25
(H)Colorado Rockies1 - 13New York Yankees(A)
A
May 24, 25
(H)Colorado Rockies3 - 2New York Yankees(A)
H
Aug 25, 24
(H)New York Yankees10 - 3Colorado Rockies(A)
H
Aug 24, 24
(H)New York Yankees2 - 9Colorado Rockies(A)
A
Aug 23, 24
(H)New York Yankees3 - 0Colorado Rockies(A)
H
Jul 16, 23
(H)Colorado Rockies8 - 7New York Yankees(A)
H
Jul 16, 23
(H)Colorado Rockies3 - 6New York Yankees(A)
A
Jul 15, 23
(H)Colorado Rockies7 - 2New York Yankees(A)
H

Expert H2H Analysis

AI Insight

The teams met just one day before this game, with the Yankees winning 5-3 at home. Going back to 2025,...

The teams met just one day before this game, with the Yankees winning 5-3 at home. Going back to 2025, results were mixed in Colorado, including a lopsided 13-1 Yankees win and a narrow 5-4 Rockies win. Across the sampled meetings, New York holds a slight edge, and the most recent result reinforces the current form gap between these two clubs heading into this fixture.

Last 15 matches across all competitionsMLB matches highlighted

New York Yankees

15 of 15 in MLB

W
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
L
W

Form Rating

6/10

New York Yankees Form Analysis

Trending

New York enters at 82-62, good for 2nd in the American League with a +119...

New York enters at 82-62, good for 2nd in the American League with a +119 run differential on the season. Over their last 14 games they've won 8, including a 16-1 blowout of Boston and a 9-2 win in the same series, showing explosive offensive upside. They also just beat Colorado 5-3 the day before this game. Scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 3.7, the Yankees' run prevention and offense are both performing above league average, and their road form this season (44-31) has actually been stronger than their home mark (38-31), suggesting this is a battle-tested, well-rounded club regardless of venue.

Colorado Rockies

15 of 15 in MLB

L
L
W
L
W
W
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
L

Form Rating

3.3/10

Colorado Rockies Form Analysis

Analysis

Colorado is mired at 55-89, last in the National League with a brutal -142 run...

Colorado is mired at 55-89, last in the National League with a brutal -142 run differential. Over their last 14 games they've lost 9, including double-digit defeats and several one-run losses that highlight bullpen fragility. They are being outscored on the season (4.7 runs scored vs 5.7 allowed) and their home record (30-41) shows they haven't found stability even in their own ballpark. The offense has occasional big innings, evidenced by a 13-1 win over Washington, but the pitching staff's inability to limit runs remains the club's defining weakness this season.

Season Overview

2026 Season

Record
New York Yankees82-6256.9%
Colorado Rockies55-8938.2%
Runs Scored
New York Yankees4.5
Colorado Rockies4.7
Runs Allowed
New York Yankees3.7
Colorado Rockies5.7
info

No injury information available for baseball

Player availability isn't provided by our data source for this sport.

More Predictions

All statistics and predictions are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly.

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AI: Milwaukee Brewers52%
Home Advantage

Moderate

Recent Form

Moderate

H2H Record

Even

Injury Impact

Low

Run Differential
New York Yankees+0.8
Colorado Rockies-1.0

New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies - Match Analysis

Who wins New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies?

The New York Yankees are strong favorites at roughly 68% implied probability, backed by a superior run differential (+0.8 per game vs Colorado's -1.0) and a 2nd-place standing compared to the Rockies' last-place position. New York also just beat Colorado 5-3 the day before this game, reinforcing the current form gap between these two clubs.

Should I take Colorado Rockies on the +1.5 run line?

The +1.5 run line on Colorado is a safer alternative than the outright moneyline bet, since it also covers a one-run defeat. Given Colorado has kept several recent games within a run or two despite their poor overall record, this line offers better value than backing the Rockies to win outright against a clearly stronger Yankees roster.

Which team has the better recent form and run differential?

New York clearly has the edge, sitting at 82-62 with a +119 season run differential and 8 wins in their last 14 games, including several blowout victories. Colorado has struggled badly, going 55-89 with a -142 run differential and 9 losses in their last 14, making the Yankees the far more reliable side in current form.

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